The Invisible Catastrophe: Record Methane Leak in CA
nytimes.com
nytimes.com
Whats interesting about this one, is the intentional effort to conceal it.
An airplane pilot using an infrared camera to record methane levels of the main leak noticed the second leak. Employees of The Termo Company snaked a 2.5-inch pipe away from oil pumping equipment to hide its opening under a tree.
http://www.scpr.org/news/2016/03/18/58697/during-porter-ranc...
/s
http://www.nature.com/climate/2008/0812/full/climate.2008.12...
While Methane is bad, releasing the equivalent amount of CO2 would be way worse.
But, in 10 years this is the same as an extra 2,000 cars for 10 years. 2,000 * 10 * 84 = 1.7 million cars for 1 year.
Methane basically forces you to see future climate change effects today. But, it's the ever compounding release of CO2 that's the long term problem without an obvious solution.
PS: IMO diluting focus is an issue. If two things are bad there is a tendency to stop thinking a that point. Even if knowing which one is 100x worse is very important.
It's like saying a stunt jumper hit the ground sooner because they carried a camera on the trip. Yes, they might have been 'ok' for a few extra Nano seconds, but that's not why the parachute failed to deploy.
PS: For scale, if everyone in the US drove a Prius it would help and be useful, but not stop global warming.
Owners/management doesn't seem to get the blame.
Instead we got a wall of text, and numbers without context like '97,100 metric tons'. I'm sure somewhere deep in there the context was provided, but it wasn't readily available for me as a reader to make a quick assessment of the issues importance, and whether to dedicate 15 minutes to reading it.
Specifically, the lack of subheads and figures made the article really hard to skim, which is rather inexcusable in the age of internet publishing. The only images are a guy with a rolls royce, an overhead shot of the area, a pool, and a gate. Not exactly compelling stuff, nor highly descriptive or additive. The article is very well researched and real journalism went into it, and its a shame it wasn't put together well.
EDIT: dove into this problem more on my blog -- http://www.nickpunt.com/2016/03/31/journalism-and-user-exper...
https://www.uscleanenergyfund.com/blog/visualizing-the-calif...
Spoiler alert: this "catastrophe" is a minor blip on our nation's overall greenhouse emissions.
This leak comes from the ground. So obviously it's a net addition of carbon to the atmosphere.
But cows get their methane from plants. Ultimately, are these emissions in the same sense that this leak was an emission?
Meaning that if you burn a tree, then plant a tree, your net emission is zero, once the tree grows large enough. Is it the same with cow methane emissions, ultimately?
Obviously, the methane is a short run problem, since methane is particularly impactful for climate change. I'm wondering if cows produce a long run net gain of carbon in the atmosphere, or if its merely transient.
So to oversimplify, with cows we turn CO2 into methane, without cows nature turns CO2 into soil.
Of course, a forest would have more carbon than pasture, just wondering about the net impact of cows vs. some other kind of agriculture.
CH4 breaks down into other stuff, but it doesn't go back into plants.
To answer your last question, methane is transient (~10 years or so). But as long as the cows are around, that really doesn't matter.
https://www.google.com/maps/place/2015+Methane+gas+leak,+Cal...
The Walmart shopping center is here:
https://www.google.com/maps/place/Walmart+Supercenter,+19821...
Just saying for comparison, not for some "don't eat cows" agenda.
Cow fart source: http://www.fastcoexist.com/3054212/collecting-cow-farts-the-...
(208l of methane farts = 135g/day. 120 days = 16.2kg. 97 x 10^6/16.2 = roughly 6 x 10^6.)
Just smell that dairy air...
Imagine all that methane coming from ~1.5 billion cows on a yearly basis. I don't have to, it's happening already :D
Methane is 80 times more potent (long-term) than CO2 for global warming.
I personally can't wait for the economic prosperity of India and Africa. The beef and dairy business will top the oil one as the biggest pollutant, if it isn't topping already.
Why are there no regulations and taxes for them?
It isn't.
Agriculture accounted for an estimated emission of 5.1 to 6.1 GtCO2-eq/yr in 2005 (10-12% of total global anthropogenic emissions of greenhouse gases (GHGs)). (IPCC AR4[0], slightly revised to 5.0 to 5.8 GtCO2eq/y in AR5)
That's all agriculture, including livestock, this (IPCC AR5[1]) is just "cow farts":
Enteric Fermentation. Global emissions of this important category grew from 1.4 to 2.1 GtCO2eq/yr between 1961 and 2010, with average annual growth rates of 0.70% (FAOSTAT, 2013).
[0] https://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar4/wg3/ar4-wg3-ch...
[1] https://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar5/wg3/ipcc_wg3_a...
Here's an 18% estimate while transportation is 13%.
Here's a 51% estimate, trumping everything else.
http://www.worldwatch.org/node/6294
No one can say with certainty.
Although, raising 100 billion animals yearly, most of them having over 250lbs, I'd say it's pretty close for CO2.
When it comes to methane, cow farts are 65% of our methane emissions.
A carbon tax imposed by a majority of industrialized countries would be net profitable for countries that aren't large net petroleum exporters at the expense of countries that are.
The carbon tax reduces consumption (i.e. demand) for petroleum, which reduces its pre-tax market price according to supply and demand. In other words the higher after-tax price of oil causes more people to buy electric cars and build out non-fossil power generation, which means less burning of oil and coal, which means less buying of it.
So you have a $2/gallon tax but the resulting drop in demand reduces the pre-tax price of petroleum by $1/gallon (or whatever), which means you're only actually paying $1/gallon more for gas. Meanwhile you have $2/gallon worth of tax revenue which you can give back to the people paying the gas tax via a negative income tax or whatever you like. The extra $1/gallon is money not paid to Russia and Saudi Arabia, which we get instead.
It's free money at the expense of antagonistic countries. The fact that it also happens to save the world is just a nice side benefit.
Don't worry about your car, but do help those committed nerds showing up to regulatory hearings in your area. The Bay Area has several of these infrastructure fights going on as we speak.
We're made in God's image. Making planets that are habitable, therefore, is within the ken of our image. Also we're responsible for having dominion over this planet and all the critters and plants that are in it.
In China, they have a program to help clean the air in which they shoot the pollution out of the sky with water cannons. A hundred years ago there weren't any cars or commercial planes. There are solutions. There are even solutions that we would be blown away by; whats to stop a drone collection army that re-collects released emissions or a bio-logical version which does something similar? We aren't powerless.
In the tower of Babel, man wanted to build a tower that would them reach the heavens. God stepped in and put a stop to it, confusing language. We can do things that are amazing and we can do things that are terrible. Humans are so capable that when they set their mind to do something, it takes an act of God to stop them. Do you see fish getting out of their cage and walking on the moon? If you do, your species put them there.
I'm going to go back to writing out things which make the world behave as I order it to now. I want people in one location to be able to watch things in another location without going there; and I want them to see invisible features of the things like an audit log of what occurred there. Not clairvoyance though, just our usual so every day that it has become normal science-fiction-like world.
People like to do things the "normal" way. I once gave a workshop to a group that demonstrated this. I gave the talk in Japan and half the people were Japanese. The other half were from western countries (mostly the US). I asked them to get into groups and debate the best way to take a shower. In Japan, people tend to shower while sitting on a small stool. In the west, people tend to shower standing up. I had to stop the discussion after 10 minutes because I was really afraid that some people might come to blows.
Why do people react so strongly to such a stupid subject? Is there really a "right" way to shower? The answer is culture. There are things in your life that are normal to you. You have done them that way your whole life. All your friends do them that way. Even your identity can be wrapped up in doing things that way.
In my talk I gave a fairly challenging definition of the word "culture": it is the set of things that you do or believe without question. They are the things that are "common sense" or obvious. Everybody does them that way. When pressed, most people will devise reasons for why their way is best, but really it is just a deep rooted belief. If someone holds a cultural belief that entrenches the opposite view it can literally lead to war.
What you do personally is only a drop in the bucket, as you say. If you wish to make a large difference, you will have to convince others to join you. But this is where you will run into problems.
For example, one could encourage people not to eat meat. This will have many environmental benefits. But eating meat in the west is normal. Most people grew up eating meat. Most people's friends eat meat. Many people have friends or relatives that depend on the meat industry. Some people can get violent if you suggest that they should be sitting down while having a shower. Imagine the reaction to telling them they shouldn't eat meat!
Most people shouldn't have a car. Maybe nobody should have a car. That would make a massive difference to the environment. But a car is normal for most people. Driving every day represents freedom and is really part of their identity (especially in North America). Telling people not to drive is like telling them to chop off their left hand. "Because it is better", is just not going to cut it even if you give a thousand examples of how it is better.
So what can you do? I think there actually is a way. Why do Japanese people sit down when they shower? I could come up with hundreds of reasons, but the reality is that in Japan this is the way you do it. It doesn't matter. You could stand up, sit down, lie down, hop on one leg. If it were normal, then people would want to do it that way. In Japan it became normal to shower sitting down.
Your task, should you choose to accept it, is to make the things necessary for a good and clean environment "normal". We can already see this happen over time. When I was a child, recycling wasn't a thing. In many places in the world it is now "normal". In Japan, if you don't separate your garbage your neighbours will actually yell at you. I have to separate my garbage into 7 different categories!!! But that's normal in my town.
All of these other things can be normal too, but it may take generations. If you wish to be a pioneer, you can just live your life and be happy with the decisions you make. You can show your friends and relatives that you can live a "normal", happy life this way. If it really does make sense, then someone else will try it. Help them succeed. Keep doing that and eventually the world can change.
It might not be fast enough to divert some bad things coming down the road, but it's better to start late than to sit around being depressed that you can't do anything ;-)
Or for the general population to start giving a shit.
About anything, really.
How about doing more science or more journalism? Those things have the dual benefits of helping solve the problem and actually being possible without zombie time travel.
What we really need is more science-based governing policies with respect to environmental impact, but that again relies on the public electing officials with that stance. I don't have a good solution, but it's a broad enough problem that there isn't a simple fix.
And in the modern day we also have Bernie Sanders, who actually has a demonstrable, 30+ year track record of integrity, unlike Trump. Just a thought...
For the middle class, taxes will rise a noticeable amount, but that will be more than offset by free healthcare and free college.
Plug your numbers here to see an estimate of change on your disposable income: http://www.bernietax.com/
It's nearly statistically impossible.
Trump is the president you deserve though. He seems closer in personality to the average american.
> Pound for pound, the comparative impact of CH4 on climate change is more than 25 times greater than CO2 over a 100-year period.
https://www3.epa.gov/climatechange/ghgemissions/gases/ch4.ht...
This is heavily discussed in a documentary I watched recently, "Cowspiracy."
https://www.hcn.org/issues/47.15/in-the-southwests-four-corn...
http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/nationworld/midwest/ct-st...
Methane is lighter than air (about 0.7th the density of air). The methane leak is above Porter Ranch (about 1200 feet, a fact that is mentioned).
You know that and I know that. But do most NYT readers know that? If not, why doesn't the writer mention it? He does mention elliptically that the town residents are smelling mercaptans, not methane. He doesn't mention that the methane can't possibly be reaching them. It seems like this simple science fact would bring a lot of clarity to the picture.
(In related news, the greenhouse effect is O(log n), as a function from greenhouse gas concentration to thermal forcing. I'm sure everyone here knew this as well.)
> Over a 20-year period, methane is estimated to have a warming effect on earth’s atmosphere 84 times that of carbon dioxide.
btw, notice how activity decreased in 2015 vs. 2014 with oil prices falling
"The explosion occurred after a pipeline began leaking liquid natural gas[1] (mainly propane and butane), creating a highly flammable cloud that was soon ignited by wheel sparks from two passenger trains heading in opposite directions near the site of the leak. "
That doesn't make sense to me. Either it's natural gas, or propane-butane. Where I live at least, there are requirements for what natural gas is supposed to be. There can be some amout of impurities in it but it's still supposed to be mostly methane.
Maybe they meant that the propane and butane impurities stayed low while methane escaped?
after almost 10 years of the release of the iphone, still can't get my head around that people willingly choose that inconvenience in the name of the dictated cool.
I dont think anyone knows how natural or idustrial leakage there is. But some groups are attempting measure.
If I spilled toxic waste on your land, I'd have to pay to clean it up and possibly more for mishandling it. If I spill invisible toxic waste in the whole world's atmosephere, do I get to impose the costs on everyone else?
No consequences at all, nosiree.
"Daddy, did it use to be hard to breathe when you were little too?"
Any problem that takes more than a lifetime to take effect is going to be difficult to make people take action on.
Part of me feels like the Times is doing a subtle, sly job here, and part of me feels like they missed the whole story.