Google parent Alphabet ushers in ‘fiscal discipline era’
americasmarkets.usatoday.com
americasmarkets.usatoday.com
Engineer hiring at the big silicon valley firms usually consists of 3 intense rounds of technical interviews by peers and a huge amount of background checks and screening.
Management hiring at the big silicon valley involves wining and dining with millions on the table and it has seen some spectacular examples of hiring MBAs with absolutely no past CEO experience - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carly_Fiorina#Hiring
MBA degrees are by far the most common masters degree, 126,214 new MBAs graduating each year. Link - http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2013/01/there-ar...
Meanwhile the number of new engineering graduates across all disciplines per year is 126,194. Link - http://www.computerworld.com/article/2508899/it-careers/obam...
This is leading to a cycle. Small startups run by the hard to hire engineers smash the competition. They then get established and stagnate, they stop hiring new engineers because it's too expensive (whilst hiring the more common MBAs for millions) and they stagnate because of this.
Google came out of nowhere in the 90's as an innovative company of engineers. They became huge. They're now going into MBA focused stagnation mode just like HP, Yahoo, IBM and about a hundred other examples.
Not quite. Hiring for high management positions is usually much more selective and fickle, and the risk for people in those positions to succeed is much MUCH higher than what most engineers need to deal with (hence the significantly larger compensation delta). I've never been to B-School, but if I had to posit a guess, they do do a better job of teaching people how to run existing companies in various scenarios than what most engineers learn over their career.
(Also, keep in mind that the biggest value of going to an expensive B-School is the high value networking opportunities. This means that the school you choose matters A LOT.
A lot of people get useless MBAs. :/ )
I remember how Sun killed Wednesday donuts as basically a centerpiece of 'financial discipline' back then. Another remarkable act was to allow business class for a given person only after meeting some threshold of travel - you can guess how it played out - yea, people were basically 'forcing' themselves to fly more (and not to Alaska or Antarctica) to meet the threshold :)
So you see these hundred billion dollar companies still doing highly inefficient things to internalize benefits as if they have a hundred competitors because that's what people have been taught, when they should be looking to the classic AT&T monopoly's example with Bell Labs.
You have the cash for a hundred moonshots and you're cutting things that could be the future of the company? Why?
Just look at Google's financials. If they "sacrifice the future" and nuke everything other than search and search advertisements, they'd make a LOT more profit.
The closest thing I can think of happening at Google is Gmail, and that was over a decade ago.
But one invention that popped out of PARC did---the laser printer. That one invention paid for Xerox PARC many times over (maybe a hundred times over---PARC spent a few million but the laser printer pulled in a few billion).
Fundamental research is expensive in the short term, but it pays off handsomely in the long term (unfortunately, longer than Wall Street will allow it seems).
Difference being Xerox made billions after spending a few million on research. Alphabet/Google on the other hand have poured in billions into what are now called their 'Other Bets' over the past two years and despite what impact they've made the revenues have been dismal and growth was stagnant last year.
It's better to focus resources on things that little startups can't do (like self driving cars) and buy up fast expanding companies, like Google did with Youtube or Facebook did with Instagram.
My understanding was that Google X is modeled after Google's own founding. Long term, research project that was successfully commercialized within 5-7 years (I believe Google started as a research project in 96).
So once companies graduate in stable/mature businesses, shouldn't they be hold to any mature/public company standards?
The valley of death is directly caused by this mindset. R&D in the middle doesn't get funded because either side thinks it's outside of their scope.
I hate that this is how the world is.
Boston Dynamics is, conservatively, more than 5 years off from having a product that anyone will purchase (the marines don't want their bulldogs). Other non-profitable ventures may have more near-term revenue streams that outweigh their present cost of operation.
Hope that makes sense.
Not really. CFOs like to think they can. But the idea that anyone can estimate the revenue stream of a company five years - five years - away from profitability is just entrail reading.
No one can see that far ahead. And in Google's case, with the ad industry in serious danger, it needs to give itself as many options for medium term survival as possible.
Relying on Google X or a cloud service to deliver isn't enough, IMO.
Seems like Google is all grown up now. How long until they are perceived by the public as being as stodgy and gross as IBM and Microsoft? The big downside here is that despite all of Google's amazing stock of talent they've been a remarkably dysfunctional company for most of their existence. They are almost genetically incapable of having real products (defined as things consumers pay for) or real customer relationships. They are absolutely horrible when it comes to investing in their businesses enough to see them to full maturity. Youtube and google docs (or drive or whatever they're calling it) could easily be multi-billion dollar businesses on their own, but their featureset, market stance, customer relations, etc. have been so poorly improved year over year that instead they merely stumble forward.
A lot of this comes about because of google's corporate culture and business. Google revenue is basically all ads from google search plus some backbone networking (ISP/peering) business and then a tiny sliver of "other" (all of their "products"). Not only is there no priority for ramping up their other product lines into real businesses they are making so much money so easily from their main business there are no consequences for failure. So at google there's basically the main stuff that makes a ton of money and then everything else is a romper room of unseriousness and inconsequentiality. Add on to that google's quote flat unquote management structure and their median 1-year tenure and you have to really wonder how the business even functions at a basic level.
In some ways they look like a towering monument of unassailable talent and market advantage, but in other ways they look like a teetering house of cards ready to fall over with the next stout breeze. And it seems like so much of the tech industry is in similar shape. No, I don't mean that it's all going to collapse tomorrow or anything like that, I just mean that it's shot through with strong veins of dysfunction at every level and through every aspect.
I also learned that YouTube is now providing YouTube Space for rent in multiple countries to help YouTuber to create better high quality content.
I think after YouTube has their own CEO, it's been making progress to expand its brand.
I'm seeing YouTuber from Canada (https://www.youtube.com/user/ehbeefamily), from Indonesia (https://www.youtube.com/user/LastDayProd), from New York (https://www.youtube.com/user/caseyneistat), or even for a specific niche (Asian American: https://www.youtube.com/user/FungBrosComedy, Japan: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCqwxJts-6yF33rupyF_DCsA) doing serious work to produce good quality content.
Old contents are also being re-published at YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/show/pocoyoinenglish (probably making money via ads continuously as well).
My family viewing habit is shifting from TV Cable to YouTube slowly to the point where we're considering to abandon TV Cable (kinda hard cause sports and all that).
I believe YouTube is head-down quietly building better product/experience for long-term.
I sense that Google enterprise groups are in similar trajectory after the Alphabet split (case and point: Google Cloud Platform, it's not AWS/Azure yet but it's beginning to show some improvement from its previous stance).
If I can't make it to a meeting, I simply find it in google calendar and click the video link (that's automatically created) and I'm there.
Not to mention the uptime and spam protection of gmail is renown. Their security is also top notch. I see zero compelling reason to use anything Microsoft.
Often its their willingness to take big chances that gets them to the top of their market. But once they get there (especially after going public) the "adult supervision" takes over and they lose what made them successful in the first place almost as soon as the finance professionals or sales people take over.
I'm not sure why it's so hard to understand that technology companies should be run by technology professionals. Would anyone walk into a hospital and suggest that it should be run by someone other than a doctor?
Of course any successful tech company should employ finance professionals, but they should help the company achieve its mission, not define the mission.
Administrators and doctors usually loathe each other because they see things from very different points of view.
That essay goes on to say that this creates a chance for startups to make their presence felt, because big companies don't want to take risks anymore.
[1] - I can't find the link right now. Will update this post, when I do
[2] - This is slightly related to Gambler's fallacy https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler%27s_fallacy
Small companies need to try to win (and risk dying in the process). Large companies need to try not to lose (and risk stagnating instead). It's an interesting consequence of the effects of scale.
Edit: I would relate it more to an Anthropic Principle than the gambler's fallacy. There is a lot of survivor bias in the stories that we hear about.
Facebook is the new Google I believe.
What would prevent Facebook from taking Google's path in a few years (assuming a similar scenario continues)?
Both Facebook and Google are gearing up to aggresively go after the mobile market. Apple is stagnating after Steve Jobs' passing and both companies taste blood inn the water.
In fact, it's to be expected. Microsoft -> Google -> Facebook -> Uber (ugh).
Each was very successful, and success breeds growth, which is not bad. However, as you keep growing, there's never any pressure to remove the lower-performers or focus. This leads to too many people for the (perceived) good projects, which leads to internal politics carried out in a destructive fashion. At that point, you're pretty much like every other company hated by their employees.
The company has all the growth advantages while the M. Zuckerberg maintains the voting majority.
A lot of his decisions have pissed off the board but they've generally kept the company moving in a positive/profitable direction.
Google has a ridiculous amount of resources at its disposal and 2 very ambitious founder CEO's to drive the Alphabet parent company but, in reality, only have one groundbreakingly profitable product; advertising.
Mobile is taking over the web and Google's advertising capabilities on mobile aren't great due to technological limitations and the app store walled gardens.
AMP has the potential to put them in monopoly position in terms of web browser market share. They can leverage search engine ranking metrics to drive adoption.
Meanwhile ReactJS and Angular2 will are bringing 'universal' client-side webapps to the mainstream. Basically, the browser SPA frameworks can be used to create native mobile apps. I wouldn't be surprised if native mobile app development as a market collapses in the near future.
As for the rest, they seem to be aggressively pursuing infrastructure development. Customers hate the current broadband/wireless providers and anything that decreases internet usage is a threat to Google's bottom line.
Facebook and Google are driving in a smiliar direction as far as the web goes. Alphabet/Google just has much more resources and a much broader scope of where they plan to go.
Still, don't you think self-driving cars are going to be a huge success?
Google has basically glossed over the fact that their cars fail every 1,560 miles and focused on their "1.4 million miles driven" figure. They're pushing an agenda of eliminating the human driver from their prototypes, even though their cars would be incredibly dangerous without them.
Meanwhile, other companies are focusing on ways to make the UX of self-driving cars safe and comforting for humans to interact with: http://www.fastcodesign.com/3054330/innovation-by-design/the...
We should probably give it a timeframe. I say over the next ten years?
Nailing down `great product' will be harder.
By `internally', I assume you mean not from a recent acquisition?
I don't think some core services like Android & Chrome are stagnating. They may not be much superior to their competitors to blow them out of the water, but they do seem to be moving ahead in those sectors.
I agree with the fact that they didn't come out with new products/brands that stuck, but their progress with existing products seems to be in the right direction.