What we’re doing to the Earth has no parallel in 66M yrs, scientists say
washingtonpost.com
washingtonpost.com
This is the part that I'm worried about. Regardless of what happens to global temperature or climate, the damage we've done to the oceans is insane. As Alex Cannara explained[1],
In 150 years we have brought the chemistry of oceans to
a point not seen in 300 million years.
He is referring to the large shift in ocean pH caused by our release of over 30x the amount of carbon than the ocean can sequester. This is particularly bad problem because the process that sequesters atmospheric CO2 is based on marine life shells/skeletons being sinking and ending up as limestone.We have already disrupted that process, with some areas (such as the north Atlantic) are already seeing species starting to fail from the acidity. At some point in the next few decades, the pH will be sufficiently acidic that CaCO2 becomes soluble and any species with a shell goes extinct. Never mind the massive food change disruption, this stops the main CO2 sequestration process.
I don't think we can stop this; it's already too late. While there are ideas about how this could be fixed, we aren't going to accomplish any of them. So maybe we should start getting ready for another event like the Permian–Triassic (P-Tr) extinction.
I'd summarize but anyone interested in the near-term (this century) effects of climate change and already on HN should be willing to read the actual paper.
Long story short, this paper received a lot of press attention when it was published to the ACPD last summer for discussion: http://dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com/2015/07/23/whiplash-warnin...
Which led to a fair number of climate scientists upset about what they saw as the press reporting on preliminary results. It's linked in that article but the key point is that Hansen has spent the last ~10 years calling out what he sees as a reticent attitude among climate scientists towards (what he feels is justified) alarmism: http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/2/2/024002/fulltext/
The problem with climate change isn't what it might change into, but how fast it happens. It's quite already to have a change slow enough for societies, farmers, migration of species and geoengineering technology to adapt. We don't need enough time for evolutionary adaptation because we've actually got considerable control over our environment, unlike all species before us.
In comparison, if we instantly felt the effects we could obviously see we're causing specific problems, and react appropriately. With the lag it's a crapshoot and deniability can creep in.
I think it's a safe bet we'll use up all the fossil fuels we can find, and release the carbon into the atmosphere, regardless of the carbon taxes and cap and trade. And even after that, we'll continue to boil water with nuclear rods to generate electricity with tons of heat waste. Where does all that go?
The best we might hope to do is somehow capture the carbon in the air and put it back underground... trees and seaweeds seem to do that. And then we mighy try to capture all the plastic we dumped in the pacific ocean...
Seriously doesn't think make you think twice about the future for our grandchildren?
My bet is we can do a lot to slow the damage and then reverse it.
Things like this give me hope: http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/articles/print/volume-16...
It definitely reduces total co2 released, but sounds more like recycling than actually improving the existing problem. Did I understand that correctly?
An acquantance of mine works in the oil industry. It's chilling to hear his enthusiasm for exploring the artic now climate change has made it possible.
My bet is most continue to ignore the issue until, like Easter Island long ago, we're passing the last chance moment.
The best we might hope to do? You might want to look up the geoengineering ideas floating around. Capturing carbon isn't the only possibility - and it sounds like it won't help in the short term anyway. Another approach is to reflect more sunlight, or perhaps capture water vapor - a more powerful greenhouse gas than CO2 and the major contributor to the greenhouse effect on Earth.
Compared to that, whatever waste heat emitted by a nuclear plant is a drop in the bucket.
All we have to do is make the planet uninhabitable for us, and the problem ultimately corrects itself.
Hot temperatures are much more difficult to handle than cold temperatures for humans. With proper clothing/goggles/face masks, I've been downright cozy at -43 celsius in northern British Columbia - spent hours completely comfortable. In Dubai, on a hot, humid day in September, I can manage maybe 15 minutes of exertion before I have to escape back to air-conditioning.
If you know they're right, then everyone else can too and there's no need for anyone to worry about what's right or not.
That pretty much covers all of HN and Washington Post readers I'd say.