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Only sales in the US count, and the Model S is not over 100k here. Most estimates I've seen agree that the tax incentive probably won't go into phase-out mode until the latter half of 2018.

Awesome, thanks for the clarification on US only, I was not aware of that part.

Your reservation does not qualify as purchasing an EV.

To be specific, the relevant date is when the car was "placed in service." That is, when you take possession of it.

You need a VIN to claim the credit.