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Sure, you may be right. But those are a few years out, and then it will take a few more to move from bleeding edge to main stream where it significantly impacts the economy. That's why the OP data his prediction is for the next twenty five years only.

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25 years from now is forever in biological engineering. It's crazy to think noone knew much about CRISPR 4 years ago, now it's used everywhere. It's like that in other fields too.

The things AI is able to do is growing rapidly too. Nothing looks like a big deal to the Freakonomics guy because the next thing comes out so quickly and replaces it that it doesn't seem like a big development, whereas we had decades to admire and reflect upon what a big deal our cars and light bulbs were.

Great example. How long will it take before CRISPR has economy-level impacts? (100s of billions of dollars) It's obvious that it will, but we're still a few more years out before that's going to happen.

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