LivingSocial Is Laying Off More Than 50 Percent of Its Staff
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That's the biggest red flag for me. General rule of thumb is that your VCs won't approve an exit unless it's for at least 10x the funding you've taken, which means they need a minimum exit of about 10 billion.
That's a tough spot to be in, and really changes your thinking. I know of at least one company that had an exit opportunity but it was only 2x funding, so the investors wouldn't allow it. They then slogged along for 8 more years until they finally had an exit that was 0.2x and it all went to the series A investors with their preference. Founders got nothing, angels got nothing, employees got nothing, and series B and beyond (the ones who blocked the 2x exit) got nothing.
Edit to clarify: I'm not saying the VCs are doing anything wrong here or being irrational or anything like that. I'm saying as a founder you need to watch out for this because the VC has a diversified portfolio and the founder doesn't.
2014: https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/capitalbusiness/livi...
2012: http://money.cnn.com/2012/11/29/technology/livingsocial-layo...
These guys even tried to recruit me last year. I declined politely due to the apparent 2-year lifespan their staff has.
Not that they stopped being a startup because they copied groupon
Crazy to see the downvote mafia around here on this kind of thing.
In any event, I think they were a startup at that point in time, but I can see how reasonable people might disagree.
:)
I registered, because why not, but most of the restaurants in it are pretty crap.
The company was founded with VC money right off the bat (Will Wright, although a central figure, wasn't the "real" founder, the investors that found him and convinced him to start the company, not the other way around).
When they release SimCity 2000, they were right on track as VC expect... the problem is that game cycle is long, they expected to release SimCity 3000 or TheSims in at least 2 years, meaning 1 year without a big release, VCs weren't happy with this, they wanted exponential growth every year, not a "staircase" growth, so the VCs kept bugging them and the result was a premature exit (where they were sold to EA for a amount of money that I think undervalued them).
Now they are mostly dead :/ (after the massive failure that was SimCity 5, almost everyone was fired, including EA CEO).
In fact SimCity 2k they made because they "had" to, they didn't wanted to make it, but it was their obvious cash cow.
SimAnt, was a prototype for "The Sims" (then named "Project Dollhouse") that ended becoming what was released instead (they made the "house" and the human and the dog in SimAnt before the ant farm simulator part).
After they released SimCity2k, the CEO quit (I dunno why), the VCs then started to meddle directly, and demanded they released 4 games by the end of 1996, they ended making SimCopter (that started as a 3D engine and AI prototype for The Sims again... later when they released the actual The Sims, they used the actual engine from Sim Copter, but "converted" back to 2D), SimPark (that also had parts of its engine used in The Sims and SimCity 3k and 4), Sim Tunes and FullTilt Pinball
It didn't went fully well, although SimCopter people liked it, the rushed release was problematic, for example with the buggy bimbo easter-egg (one of the programmers introduced without permission an easter-egg where men in speedos and nipples that glowed would run around named "himbos", a bug, not caught due to rushed released, made the easter-egg trigger in a frightening pace, spawning hundreds of "himbos", that would run toward the helicopter, get sliced by the blades and killed, heavy PR fallout ensued).
Then the VC demanded that they dropped everything (including The Sims) and started doing the next SimCity, but they wanted it in the SimCopter engine, despite the dev protests, knowing it would never work... Indeed, it didn't, SimCity 3k in SimCopter engine was throughly bashed at E3, with journalists extremely disappointed, and the team morally dropped like a rock, being forced to work in a product they knew it would never work.
So they ended needing the early exit to EA to save them, it was EA, or risk the entire team quitting.
but a version of the original SimCity lives on at the Internet Archive - https://archive.org/details/msdos_SimCity_1989
Surely the VCs have the data on how often they get burned by blocking a profitable exit. How often do they block a 2x return and later get 10x? Is it really enough the compensate for the (sure more common) result of getting 0.2x or 0?
Company finally sold in 2005, preferred shareholders got everything but still lost money. Founders got nothing, employees got nothing. But everyone got to keep their jobs which was better than just going out of business.
This seems to happen pretty often. Also common is founders turning down acquisitions because they are sure they can make more if they keep at it. You wouldn't start a company if you didn't believe it.
It was pretty damn frustrating for me.
I advise friends now to avoid those companies as employees, because an exit that would be very good for you might be turned down by wealthy founders. Joining a startup with a wealthy founder means they will go huge or bust, and nothing in between. Great if you want to do that yourself, but you usually want to be wealthy already.
A wealthy founder has already past the point of "fuck you money" and financial independence. Adding another $10 million to his current $10 million isn't going to have a very meaningful effect on their life. Another $+100 million will, which why they go big or die trying, because cashing out with a $10 million payoff is the same thing in their lives as failing. Also running your own company is fun in itself.
You as an employee do not have financial independence most likely, and independence will be a huge change to your life. It's the incentive conflict of interest that is the fundamental issue here. Non-wealthy founders will probably have a cash out point in their heads and will take bird in the hand offers that would give them financial independence.
Also I say wealthy founders, not successful founders. A founder can become wealthy via many means. He could of been an early employee of a successful company (like BeOS and Jean Louis Gasse). Had a relatively minor success after a decade of struggle and made it super big (uber). Cashed out halfway through and is now wealthy (evernote, twitter and many others), etc.
Wealthy founders will do things like reject $400m offers when a company has existed for a year and only has $10m in series A funding because they want to be the next superstar / 'unicorn'.
It underlines the fact that as soon as you take VC funding, you're effectively working for someone else - even if you're the CEO.
To be clear, I'm not talking badly about the VCs, I think they are making the right decision for their situation.
I'm saying it's a bad place for the founders to be.
If you block an exit in a way which angers founders/employees, even if you have a higher expected return on that particular deal in doing that, you're now going to be "that fucking asshole VC who blocked our sale" every day until the company gets a 100x return above what the deal would have been (which is probably...never).
Not only will the founders hate you forever (both your firm and you personally, the partner); employees of that firm will hate you, and anyone those founders/employees talk to. Also earlier-stage investors/angels in the deal will also likely hate you for being "that asshole late stage investor who tanked our deal."
As a professional investor managing a large pool of other people's money, you probably have the greatest risk tolerance and most diversification of anyone involved in the deal. For employees, founders, and even angel investors, even a 2-5x exit, if it's the best/most likely thing, is probably going to be life-changing in a positive way.
Remember it's a two way street. Sure maybe there is some incentive for VCs not to be ass holes. But there is equal incentive for founders (many of whom are serial entrepreneurs) to stay liked by the VC community at large.
Final point: people with "fuck you money" as mentioned elsewhere in this thread, commonly don't give a fuck.
"Hey, I want to talk with someone at Firm X, who is good?" "They are asshats, call me, this is why..." leads to impaired dealflow for Firm X.
In this case I think "The CEO told Re/code that the cuts are not an attempt to dress the company up for a sale, but said he “might be open” to those conversations if they arose during the process of trying to secure new investments" means "We'll sell out at the first opportunity, rather than go through a painful down round"
Doing the math, it sounds like they're down to 200 and change employees from a high of over 1000.
I thought this was worth calling out. This is more believable than the reputation/pride argument for holding out. The business model is built around homeruns and busts. Middling exits are essentially busts.
In such a situation, might it make sense for all workers to drop those investors and recreate a similar company without them?
They often sit on the board, and also often control enough shares to outvote the founders.
> In such a situation, might it make sense for all workers to drop those investors and recreate a similar company without them?
I'm not certain but that would probably be illegal? At least immoral.
I guess the better question is, "Why would workers give up control to investors?"
>I'm not certain but that would probably be illegal? At least immoral.
I guess it would depend on the specifics of the relevant contracts, however I don't really see the immoral aspect of it. If anything, it would be the investors who were acting immorally in this situation. Slavery has been abolished and everyone is free to dissociate with whomever they'd like. Investors have no claim to force you to only work for them, for their ends, yet that is exactly what happened in the situation you described.
Because they gave you hundreds of millions of dollars. It's like saying why would a bank secure a mortgage with the house.
Loyalty is a two way street, and can be earned or taken away... "what would the company do in the opposite situation, say 'we will look after you', or 'you are on your own'?" - if the latter you should know about how much loyalty you have if you choose to walk away.
Mayharm says "the reason the workers give up control to investors is to get hundreds of millions of dollars".
The workers "give up" (if they have any say in it) control so that the company gets that money, not them.
I'm just saying that's not really the case, and it shouldn't be seen as any real quid pro quo.
It would be immoral for a founder to leave the company to start another one after taking in investors money promising them he will work hard.
It would be immoral for an employee to agree not to take commercial and technological secrets when leaving the company and sign non-compete agreements, and then do exactly that and found a competing company.
It would not be immoral for the employees to leave with a few colleagues to start their own company, but it would be immoral for the founder if the founder were to join them.
It would be immoral for employees to stop attending the office and stay home to work on their own startup while accepting a pay check.
Workers give up control to investors when the investors can give them the certainty of a pay check next month - because having control yourself means you must forgo the certainty of income in the short to medium term. This is valuable to people with debt and no savings (graduates and people with mortgages and families).
Workers don't like to give up control if they don't have to, that's why there is a proliferation of startups in Silicon Valley, and wages for software engineers are very high compared to many other professions.
Likely. Sometimes you'll do anything for the investment to keep your company afloat. I know of companies who gave up board control in their seed round.
I mean I've never been in that position but that seems pretty blatantly... idiotic.
There are big/public companies which underpay people, too, of course.
I think wages for a 5-10y experience "good" engineer are probably around 200-350k all-in in SF right now (cash, bonus, reasonable equity calculation, etc.). At an early startup it might be that you get a more advanced role than you would in a larger company, but in general there is close to parity now. It might be $25k more cash at a big company, and the stock being more liquid in RSUs vs. options, but the total compensation based on what I'd consider fairly reasonable valuation of equity is probably roughly the same.
(I don't really know the 0-2y experience market/college hires, or non-technical roles, though.)
The businesses that Groupon works well for have a) unused capacity to service additional marginal customers, and b) good retention/ongoing business once people try them. Good examples: gyms, salons, masseuses, adventure sports, skydiving, concerts, travel packages, overstock goods, etc. Bad examples: popular, crowded restaurants. Unfortunately, people eat out a lot more than anything else, so a lot of people bought Groupons for businesses whose business model didn't match Groupon's value proposition.
This was not well understood in 2012 (well, maybe it was to leaders of Groupon/Living Social/etc that had the numbers) and so the market size was not clear. But everyone knew that the returns would go to the biggest player, hence the intense competition for funding, advertising, customers, and merchants.
I suspect that Groupon's competitive landscape is one reason why Uber has been so aggressive in fundraising and expanding - to win at lower cost than having to battle every every market, and correctly size fundraising to the actual market.
It's basically the same as getting coupons in the mail, but with a lower cost of distribution and a channel that people actually pay attention to.
I suspect Living Social's main problem is that it's a me-too service that doesn't offer much of an advantage over Groupon. Google ended their Offers a year or two ago; also a me-too effort, and I think Amazon Local also shut down.
In the end I decided it wasn't worth the effort trying to build a startup that required hours of our time to convince/train each customer for a meager (<$100 monthly) amount. Way too much overhead.
It's interesting how one's perspective on something differs, one sees it as "cheap" while another sees it as "thrifty". Related to upbringing, perhaps? I love it when I can get two $60 meals for one $60 price.
Secondly, and admittedly on a much more anecdotal note, it seems that these customers are prone to acting entitled and complaining loudly about things that are non-issues compared to the regular clientele. Most people who don't like Thai food simply don't go to Thai restaurants. But there's a pretty decent Thai place near my house that tried Groupon, and got a handful of really bad Yelp reviews from people who seriously seemed to just hate Thai food. A couple of them explicitly mentioned Groupon, and the owner told me that she believes that all of those reviews were Grouponers (and the deal didn't restrict what they could buy, so they got the same food as everyone else). Their complaints had nothing to do about the specifics of the restaurant (which has almost universally good reviews). This serves no one. The diners get a meal they didn't like. The restaurant takes a ratings hit. And Yelp users see artifically low ratings for a good restaurant. If I'm looking for a Thai restaurant, I don't care what people who dislike Thai food think -- I already know they'll hate it.
Groupon and LivingSocial's value-add is allowing a small business to gain distribution relatively on the cheap compared to other methods.
Maybe they can hold another round of funding where investors pay $30 for "$100" in stock.
Hurry! This deal expires Q1 2016.
> LivingSocial will employ around 200 to 225 people after the cuts.
> [...]
> The Washington, D.C.-based company has now cut nearly 900 jobs over three rounds of layoffs since Thakar took over for founder Tim O’Shaughnessy 18 months ago.
Hiring a cheap call center in some other country I suppose.
This is not very different from when you decided to buy a decent quality product made in China when you could have bought a slightly better quality product made in USA for 2X or 3X the price. I'm obviously guessing here to be more dramatic, but the point is true in general.
Cost has always been a major factor in many decisions we make as individuals or organizations. And for a company (which has fiduciary duty to its shareholders), cost is definitely a more important factor than being able to hire Americans.
In this case, what are the odds that an overseas call center would cost more than anticipated (often the case), lower the quality of service and thus the company's reputation, or actually be enough to stop the downwards spiral rather than just signaling that you're in a low value-add commodity business?
http://www.pennstatelawreview.org/116/3/116%20Penn%20St.%20L...
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Revlon,_Inc._v._MacAndrews_%26....
> Accordingly, the board's actions are evaluated in a different frame of reference. In such a context, that conduct can not be judicially reviewed pursuant to the traditional business judgment rule, but instead will be scrutinized for reasonableness in relation to this discrete obligation.
lol at M&A is a "specialized edge-case".
I would imagine that a company as large as LS would have used some analysis and external/internal data to estimate the overall costs of such a move (which would include the cost of lower quality of service etc). And they must have still found the move cost-effective.
It's slightly insulting to LS employees to think that they would know less about the cost-effectiveness of this move than us. Moreover, this move seems drastic. When you're making such drastic moves, you're likely doing so to be able to survive. In such cases, lower quality of customer service and poor signals etc take a back seat.
> There's no legal concept of the oft-asserted “fiduciary duty"
... I can assure you that "fiduciary duty" is very much a legal concept.
That doesn't mean that cost shouldn't be considered, only that there's no support for the assertion that “cost is definitely a more important factor” because reasonable people can quite legitimately come to different conclusions. I might think the overseas call center is reasonable, you might think that you'll be able to offer a better customer experience by keeping it in-house or with staff who work for you rather than contractors, etc. and only time will tell how true those predictions are.
Even if the company manages to turn itself around, older existing shares will probably be wiped out just due to dilution in retaining its executives and share-backed loans, or, again, if it has to raise more money, terms on new money.
As much as companies try to automate things, I really hope that localized support makes a comeback.
All that aside, wages in India aren't 1/15th of what they are in the less economically developed parts of the USA, at least not for reliable people capable of working remote for American companies.
There is going to be a pretty big difference in cost between the 2.
Also in our limited experience hiring in India you are going to want to pay a bit of a premium if you want low turnover.
I'm just trying to make the point that this myth that you can get someone who speaks English and has enough knowledge of American customs to deal with customer support for under $1/hr is just a myth.
What? Customer service requires intellect, a lot .
And I have never seen a successful startup that didn't listen to its users - which you can't do if the people who are supposed to talk with them are in a different continent and don't understand the language really well.
I bet there are other options too.
Leaving aside the implication that customer service doesn't require either application or intellect, why would they do this if their experience teaches them that outsourcing gets the job done at a fraction of the cost?
Doesnt measure layoffs, but downrounds instead.
Do not ever let an HR respresentative make you feel like it is greedy or disloyal for you to ask for fair severance pay to protect you in the event of unexpected job loss.