Btw, there's an upcoming Coursera course on Mathletics/Moneyball: https://www.coursera.org/course/mathletics
Btw, there's an upcoming Coursera course on Mathletics/Moneyball: https://www.coursera.org/course/mathletics
_Moneyball_ isn't about baseball so much as it's about how easy it is for humans to be tricked by our intuitions and habits. Moneyball talks about baseball from the point of view of someone who everyone just assumed would be good -- and wasn't -- as he's trying to make more and more objective assessments of players, and wielding his conclusions against competing, more traditional managers.
IMO, this is one book of a "trilogy" - the Kahneman book, "Moneyball" and "The Checklist Manifesto" by Atul Gawande. They all came out in roughly the same time and are three different views on this problem.
- checklists reduce error - surgical staff may or may not embrace checklists even when they know it reduces error. - they backslide and the error rate comes back.
Using "Fast and Slow" as a template, they have a weird and hard to understand balance between their System 1 and System 2 thinking.
I've used a basic "checklist" ( eg, the motor has to be at X RPM +/- Y RPM for X seconds before you disengage the clutch ) as the central element in some controls automation, and I've seen people be really confused by that. Machines people do not think in terms of "proofs" even though they embrace chunked operations.
That being said, I'm a huge fan of many other sports, so that no doubt contributed to the enjoyment.