The Trollable Self-Driving Car
slate.com
slate.com
A self driving car will never distract itself. It can't get drunk. It won't be able to lose it's consciousness or mental acuity as it ages. It has access to huge amounts of real time information from sensors more accurate than any humans intuition ever could be and can act on that data in an instant.
If the only hurdles we have to this becoming a reality are edge cases like the ones listed in this article, then I am very optimistic for the future of self driving cars.
In order to get an AI to think a cloud is a truck, you'd have to somehow reinforce the negative numerous times, essentially brain-wash the AI into thinking a cloud was a truck. Guess what else can be brain washed?
The author holds humans in far too high of regard here. Clearly given the number of accidents and road deaths a year, humans aren't very good at intuiting others' actions.
Think Brazil and how kidnapping and ransoming are not unheard of events. Unless these cars have an override, gangs and other criminals can exploit this "juvenile prank".
† To avoid giving the wrong impression about how Brazilians see crime risks in their country, I should say that I know many Brazilians and I don't know anyone who has ever taken this kind of course. I think it's easy for media to seize on and highlight exciting risks and exciting precautions: for example, I once also heard foreign media claim that "many" people in São Paulo commute by helicopter to avoid kidnappers on the ground. But friends in São Paulo cast severe doubt on this story, saying that the ultra-rich mostly like helicopters because they're fast and prestigious. :-)
So apparently in this case the human didn't out guess the car, since he saw the bus and could have stopped the car if he thought the bus would not stop. Humans are unpredictable, and no one (human or computer) can predict their actions every time.
Maybe a bee just stung his genitals, and he's going to careen off the overpass into traffic below. Or he's just another idiot, ready to dart into the other lane at 70mph, with even less distance behind and ahead of him than the 1.7 car lengths.
I can guess the category of actions he will certainly perform (general bad driving, stupid shit, etc.), but I have no psychic powers to know what he will do specifically.
And as for his reactions to driving conditions... for me to simulate those in my head, and come up with something plausible takes more time than it will take him to do it for real by which time it will be too late (and has probably sapped me of the brain power I needed to react myself).
It's a peculiar set of biases, confirmation and other, that let's morons say something like what you quoted.
- Causing the car to collide with other vehicles. E.g. getting into a fender bender to avoid the illusion of an impending frontal collision.
- Causing the car to stop where it shouldn't. E.g. imagine armed robbers or kidnappers waiting on a deserted stretch of the road with a lidar spoofing device.
- Causing the car to run people over. E.g. spoofing away a pedestrian on a crosswalk.
What's even worse is that all of these attacks would be difficult if not impossible to detect or track down. With zero risk you can acquire valid insurance claims, put victims in positions where they're easily robbed or kidnapped, or cause your enemies to be run over.
[1] http://spectrum.ieee.org/cars-that-think/transportation/self...
Not to mention I could have a rifle by the end of the day in my state.
Meanwhile lidar spoofing attacks are likely going to be far harder. You need to obtain expensive (and probably illegal) equipment, and have the technical knowledge to use it. I don't know what the range of such an attack would be, but I don't think it would be better than a rifle.
The FBI successfully arrests and prosecutes those who do. Why would this be any different?
https://www.fbi.gov/newyork/press-releases/2014/westchester-...
Investigators arrive at car crash sites far more ready to consider them accidental.
I can cause emergency braking on the road outside my house by behaving like I'm about to run into the street while never leaving the sidewalk.
I could get on an overpass and shine a bright spotlight in drivers' eyes at night.
I get what the author is saying, and there will be a continual need to improve self driving cars. Sure there may be different ways to troll them, but I don't think he makes a strong case that they will be particularly more troll-able than humans.
Which if they take off, we'll probably find "Yes, until the machine-learning algorithm at the top aggregates the metrics from multiple cars on the road, devises a new rule, and pushes that rule via auto-update."
The question with self driving cars will be, for example, can a group of people "herd" one into a garage to steal it, or perhaps get it to do something crazy like drive into a lake. My guess is at some point the car will just sit there, just like you would if a huge group of kids were trying to do this to you.
Now imagine New York City clogged up with self driving cars -- frozen at each intersection in fear of hitting someone. It'd be a disaster.
Humans will quickly understand that these cars are easily bullied, and many will take advantage of that. Why wait for your turn when you can just cut off a driverless car?
How many times do people get to play that game until the NYPD is flooded with metrics on where to go to hand out free jaywalking tickets?
I'm at 32nd and 2nd as I type this, and let me tell you: pedestrian pride is SERIOUS in NYC. We don't give a fuck about jaywalking laws, and if they start making this city impossible to walk in, city hall will hear about it.
Currently, jaywalking laws are (disgustingly) used to target people that police want to target and for no other reason. If you put it to a vote, I think that the vast majority of NYCers will prefer an "implied crosswalk" law, where pedestrians have the right-of-way in all situations except when they jump in front of moving traffic.
"bullied?"
This doesn't sound like bullying to me; it sounds like utilizing the roadway properly (whereas 'jaywalking' laws paint a picture of the roadway as belonging to vehicles, which we New Yorkers protest everyday).
If anything, driverless cars might make occupants more patient when dealing with pedestrians with whom they share the roadway. If you can chill and listen to music, read something, etc, maybe you won't be in such a hurry.
https://googleblog.blogspot.co.at/2014/04/the-latest-chapter...
Also, people don't as a rule physically touch cars when jwalking. Thus, a self driving car rarely needs to stop even with significant number of people jwalking. At worst they slow down, but again less than you might think.
Oh wait. That's crazy-talk you say?
Well that's the exact same system we have in place right now
The speed limit there is 60km/h. Nearly all the humans drive 80. If you drive 60 there, you will cause a queue to form behind you, because there is so much traffic on that 5km stretch of road.
The reason why I consider this to be such a good example is because there is no solution here for self-driving cars that will work in the real world.
If you just put self-driving cars as they are on that road, then you'll convert it into a giant traffic jam.
Of course, the only _logical_ way forward would be to widen that road so that it can actually sustain its traffic load, but that is not a real-world solution.
Because a) The local levels of government are too broke to fix all the roads like this even on a time scale of decades (!) and b) the road was built on the private property of local nobility in the 1920s (for weird historical reasons) and they have refused to give up the land for the road to be widened on at least one occasion in the past.
Now, this is Germany, possibly the most orderly car-nation on the planet. What about Italy? Or India? Or South Africa?
Self-driving vehicles will become ubiquitous on the Autobahns and in rectangular American cities. I would be very surprised if there were still many human truck drivers doing cross-Europe tours 30 years from now. But human-driven cars will not disappear in the lifetime of anybody reading this, simply because outside of a few well-planned environments, you have to bend the rules to maintain traffic flow.
I do see a theoretical risk of induced accidents for the purpose of damage/injury claims. For example, jamming the LIDAR and using one's parking brake to stop abruptly without triggering the brake lights.
As has been said repeatedly, accidents like running into a bus are innocent and could've happened to anyone. While the car was technically at fault, this likely wouldn't have happened had the bus driver been driving more defensively or even if the bus driver had been an AI too... lol
With human drivers, that unpredictability factor adds to a level of fear which often prevents this sort of behavior.
I think there's also a primed number of people who would do this out of open hostility to self-driving cars, "took our jobs" types, etc and a lot of people who would do it just for fun or to make their own trips quicker.
Apparently, the author has never arrived at a four way stop at the same time as another car.
With self-driving cars, you could end up in a deadlock and no one would get anywhere...
And when the grid is fully automated, they'll be a huge decrease in four way stops (and any slowdown/stop inefficiencies in general).
The rules state that the person on the right has the right of way, yet people freeze up, then both go, then both hit the breaks, etc.
Law 101: driving laws are state-specific.
Law 101(a): Maybe I'm not understanding what you are trying to say here, but for CA and taken literally, it's incorrect. See, for example, CVC $21753.
http://leginfo.legislature.ca.gov/faces/codes_displayText.xh....
21800. (a) The driver of a vehicle approaching an intersection shall yield the right-of-way to any vehicle which has entered the intersection from a different highway. (b) (1) When two vehicles enter an intersection from different highways at the same time, the driver of the vehicle on the left shall yield the right-of-way to the vehicle on his or her immediate right, except that the driver of any vehicle on a terminating highway shall yield the right-of-way to any vehicle on the intersecting continuing highway.
http://ops.fhwa.dot.gov/freight/freight_analysis/freight_sto...
This system would pay for itself and provide immediate benefits. Convoys of trucks traveling at 75 mph, drafting to save fuel.
("Why don't we have both?" as the meme says)
No, what you are saying isn't the same thing. People aren't going to be comfortable driving next to this. The risk on a separate "driverless" road is much less. And like I mentioned already, other redundant assistance can be added.
Maybe some changes to make roads more robot-friendly (e.g. by adding robot-only exits, navigation infrastructure, ...).
I think the first step in that direction we are going to see on public roads are autopilots for trucks. Follow a human-driven truck, or maybe drive simple long-distance highway routes automatically. At the end, have a human take over again and do the city stuff. Either have the human on board but resting (which means they could at least take over with a few minutes delay if necessary), or have driver hop-on/off parking places at highway interchanges.
http://selectusa.commerce.gov/industry-snapshots/logistics-a...
The automation technology can be further developed in a "real system". At some point it'll be ready for public roads.
Congratulations, you have invented a railroad.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rail_speed_limits_in_the_Uni...
2. Freight trains aren't going to eventually pull off the highway and drive themselves to the drop off in the towns and cities across the country.
3. Do you understand the huge cost difference between laying rail and creating a highway?
4. Why does everything need to be explained? Can't you put a little thought into it before posting. That urge to fire off snark is going to get you into trouble.
No need to move cargo to another vehicle can be a plus, but moving a container with a crane is quite easy and cheap.
How would a self-driving car react to situations like these? https://youtu.be/2VAlyDXl3LY https://youtu.be/9RzeRlhhprw
These are situations that you'd presumably want to run through the roadblock. Whereas in others, e.g. an undercover cop with a gun to your head, that you'd want to stop for.
Eventually, it should be cheaper to get a ride in one of these than a taxi.
(Besides, since the "win" here was "Get the car to crash into your vehicle," I wouldn't call it "winning" precisely ;) ).
PS: Try trolling humans, it works.