The road not taken: How we found and lost the dream of Personal Rapid Transit
theverge.com
theverge.com
Classic problems:
- Capacity isn't high. One track equals about one freeway lane.
- One broken vehicle stalls the whole track.
- Real guideways are usually much bigger than pictures of proposed guideways. You need emergency walkways, rescue access, and earthquake resistance. This is also true of monorails.
- Somebody has to clean all those vehicles.
Light guideway systems do exist. Intamin, the roller coaster manufacturer, also makes monorails. Theirs are as narrow as roller coaster tracks.[2] Here's their towing and rescue vehicle in action.[3] But their systems are low-capacity and slow. Japan has many monorails with serious passenger capacity, but the guideways are big.[4] One design has a flat guideway that would work for a PRT.
[1] http://www.lightrailnow.org/facts/fa_prt001.htm [2] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7HInUerMfWU [3] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=70q_CoLT3Eo [4] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lUpIl25q1nk
Here in San Diego I use Car2Go - http://car2go.com/ . It's awesome for stuff like airport runs - I walk to the car (they're about a 5 minute walk from the airport), tap a card on the windshield, drive home (about six bucks and fifteen minutes; cheaper than the bus if my wife is with me), and then when I'm done with it the car is there for someone else to use. They're small, nimble, electric, and fun. Unfortunately they don't seem to be hugely popular since SD is very, very sprawling and their home range is fairly small.
What can happen is that all the cars wind up some ways from you, but in the last 9 or 10 months that's happened to me once or twice. Even then, it was only a ten minute or so walk.
It's a sociologist's view of an engineering project management failure, and therefore requires a bit of unfamiliar jargon to interpret. It concerns itself with the question "what is progress and modernity?" quite a bit, as projects like PRT are self-conscious attempts to build a futuristic technology rather than an incrementalist approach of meeting immediate demands.
Extremely painful to put in place but once in place hugely beneficial.
http://fortune.com/2015/11/24/skytran-maglev-pod-system-tel-...
http://www.fastcoexist.com/3052942/the-sci-fi-skytran-monora...
The hype to hardware ratio is strong in this one.
This gives us the best of both worlds: safety in numbers, safety in automation and sensors, and it retains the personal autonomy we're used to. All while not requiring 100% perfect autonomous capability.
If the cars were small and cheap enough, they could be made available via subscription (much like a lease) and treated like a municipal transportation network that's superior to light rail and bus networks.
I would think that one should be able to drive even more freely; as the reaction time of the herd, and the individual cars, could accommodate situations that even highly trained human drivers would fail at.
Would special roads or guideways for those help? Possibly. Parking garages dedicated to those things are likely. They can be parked several deep because the blocking cars can be asked to move.
The future of self-driving cars has more to do with where they go when not in use than what they do while carrying passengers.
Likewise with the new generation of small EVs, visual processing, and networking, you can scale the infrastructure for everything more exactly, with a variety of vehicles of different sizes and carefully synchronized transfers, instead of forcing car traffic into primacy.
From that perspective it's easy to see why PRT was a hard sell - it's less flexible than a car and it doesn't have the capacities of light rail. The automation part has stuck, though.
The article mentioned a failed kickstarter for a boston project -- the crowdfunding alternative has yet to be proven for large-scale infrastructure.
But it would be interesting if you could raise a bond like that from private citizens. Literally have people invest in their city by purchasing shares of the municipal bond and have it paid back over 30 years of usage. Not sure why that can't be done... perhaps easier to mobilize $100M from a single private equity group than $1k from 100,000 individuals, perhaps rules about being an accredited investor before you're deemed ready to invest in projects of that scale, or perhaps the lawyers are terrified of dealing with a class-action suit involving a chunk of the populace instead of a small number of private equity firms in the lawsuit if things go wrong.
as for lane set asides, we already have HOV and Express lanes that would easily be adapted to self driving cars, if anything the express lanes would be even more efficient.
Cars like buses always trump trains in metro ranges simply because both can adapt quickly to change of habits. trains might be one solution between cities but even in Europe air travel is supplanting it
I hope it is forever, because otherwise we apparently would have outlawed bicycles.