The Robots Are Coming for Wall Street
nytimes.com
nytimes.com
It used to be before computers that someone had to go to the microfiche to pull the time series data required to analyze what the markets did during certain periods. Nowadays Bloomberg or Tompson Reuters will do this for you without requiring you to even start excel.
So I guess "robots" are coming in the same way that computers previously came for data entry and retrieval people. The analyst position has been shrinking since 2008 from my experience. This makes sense when you consider the Investment banking funnel.
- 1000's of analysts get hired on 2 year terms each year. This is often why you'll see people who spent 2 year stints with Investment banks and then left. It's really hard to get hired as an Associate and the analyst position doesn't really carry anywhere near the "prestige" of being a full time Associate. It's close to the equivalent of saying you did a co-op term with Google. You did work for Google but you were never a full time employee who went through the entire interview process and were deemed worthy.
- 10%-20% become full time positions (Associates) after a couple of years.
- 10% of those become VP's after 3-4 years. Most people cap out here.
- 10% of those become Managing directors(there are several tiers here, and you'll run a specific book and have your own team and pnl if you get this far).
Since investment banks have been shrinking head count its not surprising that they are looking for ways to decrease the number of analysts they hire. It's the one position where people don't really give it any respect.
I've never actually seen their product but if it works they'll have no problem making money. The biggest single expense most funds I talk to have, is building out the technical infrastructure to aggregate data in an easy to use method. Jim Simmons of Renaissance Technologies fame was quoted as saying their single most important piece of technology was their back-testing and data aggregation framework.
To your points and for anyone interested about IB, here's a lecture[1] (part 3/5) by Anton Kreil -- a trader and TV personality in the UK. He walks through the IB funnel on the secondary markets side, including the org chart, the "catches" in compensation, cost of living trade-offs, etc. The shoulder videos are worth watching as he discusses the structural decline at IB (secondary markets side) due to regulation and offers suggestions like learning programming if you want to survive as a trader ;-).
There is just very little independent quality tech journalism being done at the moment.
Nadler closed his laptop. The whole process had taken just a few minutes.
Generating a similar query without automation, he said, ‘‘would have
taken days, probably 40 man-hours, from people who were making an
average of $350,000 to $500,000 a year.’’Edit: I was under the impression the NYT flags its sponsored content in any case.
Edit: On an unrelated note, I'm surprised that their reports take so long after the announcement. 5 minutes after the release most of the information has already been priced into the markets.