Secretive Culture Led Toyota Astray
online.wsj.com
online.wsj.com
Instead, it had a bit of bad luck (requiring a recall) and it now faces stiff competition from two companies kept in business by massive government subsidies.
I think most people would still rather buy a Toyota than a Chrysler, Ford, or GM vehicle, on the basis of both safety and reliability -- and increasingly performance and styling.
The fact is, Toyota already won in the marketplace. It deserves to have a near monopoly because it fought harder and smarter for decades, slowly earning customer confidence and loyalty. What were the fruits of its labor? Now it gets to fight against massively subsidized ghosts from its past who have already lost the battle but are reanimated by politicians waving American flags, etc.
And now the American press seems to be having a field day claiming that Toyota has failed after one major recall. Note that similar stories about Toyota's demise surfaced after the firm had its first unprofitable quarter ever at the same time that two US automakers became insolvent.
This anti-Toyota propaganda really boggles the mind.
cost of recall < possible bad publicity + lawsuit damages
Why? Because there is a cost benefit equation that car companies use. If the cost of doing a recall is less than the possible bad publicity + lawsuit damages.
Toyota is no different, if anything, that they decided not to mention it suggests it's a low risk (if the cars killed even a few dozen people the cost the recall would have been obvious from the beginning).
Second, there's a difference between a subsidy and loans. GM and Chrysler got loans. Now, they were loans they couldn't have gotten on the open market because they looked too toxic. However, GM is now saying they'll be able to repay the loan pretty quickly. That indicates that investors misjudged the risk. Granted, it could have turned out otherwise (and I was one of the people that thought that it would have).
And I think that people feel betrayed if a company has a potentially fatal flaw in their devices. This isn't an issue of mere reliability. If my car is unreliable, it's annoying and I have higher repair bills. If my car speeds up to 100MPH and I can't stop it, I can die. Those two things sit differently with consumers. And it looks like Toyota tried to write it off as nothing when it was something and tried to protect their image rather than their customers lives.
It's one of those things: if a company has produced a wonderful, superior, reliable vehicle that kills 1 in 100,000, are they better? Most would say no, but it's easier to hide and it looks like Toyota was trying to hide their problems.
Toyota isn't failed, but this will be a huge setback for them (and it should be). If you hide problems that are fatal to people, you deserve to have your sales drop. There's an outrage over that.
Toyota screwed up big time for many years. The US auto makers also screwed up for many years. The US auto makers troubles came to light slowly in a way that was mostly about finances, wages, etc. Toyota's screw up is about human fatalities and came to light very quickly. That's a lot of the difference in the way it's being treated by the media.
The most popular new car under the program was the Ford Focus so Ford did benefit from government spending.
Edmunds estimates that the Cash For Clunkers program actually cost tax payers $24,000 for each additional new car sold.
http://money.cnn.com/2009/10/28/autos/clunkers_analysis/inde...
http://autos.yahoo.com/articles/autos_content_landing_pages/...
Most anyone could have improved overall MPG by simply buying a Prius, but the incentives were structured not to give any additional incentive to such purchases.
Is it just me, or is this a design problem just waiting to be solved.
Not the accelerator design, but to counter the fact that although there are numerous ways to either slow down the car or bring it to a halt that consumers simply weren't aware of.
Yes, you can shift into neutral. However, drivers didn't realize that. Yes, you can also turn off the engine. However, drivers didn't think of that.
I had a friend years ago (college days) in which the brakes in his Trans-Am decided to not do much of anything. Boiled off brake fluid? Bad master cylinder? Overheated rotors? Who knows. Rather than downshift, or put it in neutral, or turn off the engine -- and then wait and use the handbrake -- he figured putting it into a tree at 60mph was his best option.
The fact that drivers will not think to employ a variety of methods to slow down the car screams to me that there's something that doesn't exist, that should, that better caters to the average driver's instinctual reaction (which currently is depressing the brake pedal as hard as possible, and not giving up until the car stops).
I realize that the vehicle could've taken both brake and accelerator inputs and simply given total priority to the brake, which would've mitigated many accidents, but there are other situations (like my friend who didn't think things through) which probably merit a "panic button" solution.
Generally people are quite foolish while driving. Have you noticed how people driving heavy SUVs with 4 wheel drive (which get better traction in the snow) think that they can safely travel 65 mph on icy roads? It seems not to occur to them that the vehicle has lots of momentum and will slide on ice.
Real drivers education, and real demonstration of your competency to operate a vehicle before getting a license?
General Motors is currently a wholly owned subsidiary of the United States Treasury. This is a point of some significance and worth avoiding glossing over.
The $7 billion "loan" GM received, and plans to pay back, is a tiny fraction of the $50 billion in assistance it's received. And GM is still losing money. So GM is really just paying back the loan with other subsidies it's received.
BTW loans at below market interest rates are a subsidy. Calling them loans is just doublespeak.
And turning off the key stops any car. The people who died when the car got to 100 miles per hour would probably also have died in the midst of nearly any minor malfunction that led to a bit of panic.
That's not to excuse the error, but as I mentioned, I think out of control speed "bugs" tap into the public psyche a bit more than all the other possible equally risky bugs.
If you drove a Prius (I do) then you would know A) Prius's don't usually have a key in the ignition and B) you can't turn the car off while accelerating.
Do you understand this is a software issue, chief? You have no clue what is going on. For all you know, the entire car might be unresponsive. Ever had a computer hang on you?
Though make sure you can go straight for awhile, as it will also disable power steering.
What difference does it make if a problem is "hardware" of "software" (or even user error for that matter), if it's common enough and if it results in loss of life?
I was not arguing that Toyota shouldn't fix the problem, only that bugs are routine and we shouldn't pretend that there is negligence here.
Also - has has already been mentioned - the Prius doesn't have a key.
Furthermore there's an angle on the story: Toyota's reputation is build on reliability. I can't speak for the Pinto, but I don't recall Ford's SUV having that reputation. With sentiments currently against big business, suggestions of deceit are juicy linkbait.
Beyond that, some speak of Toyota's timeliness in issuing an apology. The Asashi, 2nd leading Japanese national newspaper, accuses them of apologizing too late. I personally wouldn't know how much weight that holds, but I find it interesting.
Car companies' risk management departments decide to do a recall when the cost of doing one is cheaper than not doing one. End of story.
The tidbit in the end surprised me though- Toyota is trying to hard to spin that they stopped selling cars as a safety precaution. Turns out the NHTSA forced them to stop selling.
Should Toyota be allowed to sell cars with this known fatal flaw? Of course not! Should they have to recall and repair cars with this known fatal flaw? Yes! Those are the things that have happened to Toyota. It's not some conspiracy case of the NHTSA trying to give domestic firms a leg up. It's a case of Toyota having to fix a fatal problem with its vehicles.
How is this different from the Ford/Firestone incident from the past? Was that the NHTSA trying to give Toyota a leg up by requiring Ford to fix that problem?
The flaw you are mentioning also has a probability of killing someone of between 0 and 1.
The point is that car companies decide when to do a recall based on a cost/benefit analysis and not just because there is a low probability flaw that could occasionally be fatal.
Well okay, that's overly dramatic, but your expectation of cars being built like planes is just not happening, nor is it likely to ever happen.
The fact of the matter is, car prices are something that is constantly under intense consumer and competitive pressure. Every auto maker wants to make their cars cheaper and cheaper, and at the end of the day something has to give for the prices consumers demand... this includes redundancy and QA.
In the short time I was in the industry, I was involved in multiple recalls - none of which as deadly as Toyota's here, but all of which were the direct result of cost cutting. In two of those recalls, the blame lied solely on using cheaper, brittle plastic parts as a cost-cutting measure applied by the major automakers. Not that they're pocketing the savings of course, those generally get passed straight onto you, the consumer.
Shortly after I left the industry Toyota unveiled the Camry redesign - and I remember remarking that something bad had to happen with this car. It gave way too much bang for your buck, I cannot imagine the invisible corners that were cut to bring this vehicle to market. Now I suppose we know - and the age-old mantra still rings true: there ain't no such thing as a free lunch.
Keep that in mind when you buy your next car, seriously. The plant where I worked made parts for everything from cheapo Pontiacs to expensive Mercedes - and let me tell you, you do get what you pay for. Disregard ignorant laymen who insist that the expensive marques are nothing but branding, there is a very, very real difference in what you're getting (and that includes tolerances, redundancy, and testing level).
"A new car built by my company leaves somewhere traveling at 60 mph. The rear differential locks up. The car crashes and burns with everyone trapped inside. Now, should we initiate a recall? Take the number of vehicles in the field, A, multiply by the probable rate of failure, B, multiply by the average out-of-court settlement, C. A times B times C equals X. If X is less than the cost of a recall, we don't do one."
What a gift this is to the lawyers involved in suits against Toyota for acceleration related wrecks. It appears they knew about the problem and stalled fixing it while people died. A jury will eat that up.