It's Time to Kill the $100 Bill
washingtonpost.com
washingtonpost.com
Once the physical density of gold is greater than the physical density of currency, criminals who want to move lots of money at once will simply use gold bars. IIRC, at $3000/oz gold is more dense than $100 bills; if $50 is the maximum denomination this would be closer to $1500; with $20 bills it is already more dense.
The motivation behind this flavor of screed is not crime prevention anyhow... it is to reduce the availability of physical cash so that central banks can freely implement negative interest rate policy without risk of people eschewing banks "paying" them negative interest by moving their savings and investments into cash.
Oh, also how the hell are you going to spend your gold? Black markets and crime must interface with the rest of the world at some point, so you're going to have to change your gold to cash, which is now just a choke point for your operation to get pressured at. There aren't a lot of businesses that take in gold and output money which makes laundering difficult.
But you're right. These arguments are almost certainly not primarily motivated by crime prevention.
As for laundering gold into digital currency, I doubt that would be too difficult for a criminal enterprise to set up. There are actually a TON of business that take gold and output money... refiners, pawn shops, jewelry stores... and let's not forget that HSBC recently had to pay massive fines for laundering drug money - and they are the custodian of the GLD ETF
And you don't need large bills to facilitate large-scale criminal activity, e.g. HSBC[1].
[1] http://www.worldfinance.com/banking/hsbc-sued-for-laundering...
[1] Basically
http://econbrowser.com/archives/2013/04/who_is_holding
Summers can say that this is all about criminals and tax evaders, but everyone should remember that if the government and fed want to impose negative interest rates on individual's savings then they have to eliminate cash or use some other unsavory techniques. This is a first step in that direction.
As an entrepreneur, I'm thankful the government continues to create such wonderful market opportunities.
I think there was at some point a feeling that it was safer, but with the sheer number of card theft rings via POS systems, shady small merchants, etc., I've taken to trying to always have about 100 USD on me at all times.
Also, the article's assertion that cash = terrorism did not surprise me at all. Why is it anything done outside of the all seeing eye must automatically be associated with terrorism?
Never bother to examine a folly, ask what does it accomplish.
And really, I expect an actual argument, not: "The fact that — as Sands points out — in certain circles the 500 euro note is known as the “Bin Laden” confirms the arguments against it." I'm just appalled at the stupidity of this meaningless statement. By this reasoning, we should destroy all {insert disliked things here} because in some circles, they are known as {insert negative connotation here}.
What a poor article written by an obvious idiot.
I've also read once that probably 50% of 500€ notes were in Spain, due to the high corruption levels hence all the bribery and untaxed payments. Even the party in government has been caught (actually it is the most corrupt party by far, as far as we know).
Do they want for terrorism to get cheaper? Prices are mostly dictated by affluence of the consumer. Terrorists don't require million dollars for given service, they just won't ask for less if that's how much the customer can comfortably provide.
Japan has a 500 yen coin (about $4.50 today) with many strong anti-counterfeit properties, so much so that the BOJ has been contracted by other Asian countries to make its coins as well.
But 10000 yen notes (roughly $95) are super used in Japan too, so would that become the next target in a non-USD/EUR counterfeit land? Maybe external demand for Yen could trigger yet some more deflation.
- Bloomberg: Bring on the cashless future [1]
- FT: The benefits of scrapping cash [2]
- Bloomberg: Europol Director Sees Case for Scrapping High-Value Banknotes [3]
- Handelsblatt: The death of cash [4]
- Norway's Biggest Bank Calls For Country To Stop Using Cash [5]
- Spiegel: Leading German Economist Calls For Cash Ban [6]
- Bloomberg: Citi Economist Says It's Time to Abolish Cash [7]
- Telegraph: Bank Of England Chief Economist Calls For Cash Ban, Urges Negative Rates [8]
And from a Morgan Stanley presentation, in which its head of EMEA equity research Huw van Steenis, points out [9]:
"What I learned at Davos: We should move quickly to a cashless economy so that we could introduce negative rates well below 1% - policy maker"
..adding: "One of the most surprising comments this year came from a closed session on fintech where I sat next to someone in policy circles who argued that we should move quickly to a cashless economy so that we could introduce negative rates well below 1% – as they were concerned that Larry Summers' secular stagnation was indeed playing out and we would be stuck with negative rates for a decade in Europe. They felt below (1.5)% depositors would start to hoard notes, leading to yet further complexities for monetary policy."
[1] http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2016-01-31/bring-on-th....
[2] http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/8ef4dcb0-ca6f-11e5-be0b-b7ece4e....
[3] http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-02-08/high-value....
[4] https://global.handelsblatt.com/edition/354/ressort/finance/....
[5] http://www.ibtimes.com/norways-biggest-bank-calls-country-st....
[6] http://www.spiegel.de/wirtschaft/soziales/bargeld-peter-bofi....
[7] http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-04-10/citi-econo....
[8] http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/bank-of-england/11874061/....