HTML5 Theora Video Codec for Silverlight
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But you in turn forget that there is a similar Java plugin that does the same thing and is installed with Mac OS X by default. All combined I'd say 95% is a fair number so maybe the grandparent was aware of this option and simply didn't mention it explicitly.
Vorbis audio, which is playable in later versions of Flash, must be as close to 100% of desktops as you're ever going to get.
Which goes to say: this is a good thing for Theora, but it is not a victory over h.264. Even in the most optimistic estimate, including this kind of plugin-as-equivalent conflation, it would be a tie, and only in the single domain of playback in desktop browsers.
However, the graphs on that site appear unreliable -- for example, they show Silverlight's market share dropping by 14% between January 22 and 26. Do you know if the raw data is available?
I saw Alp's post last night... plausible, a good engineering challenge. Not sure how it will play out in the world though. But it sure added some spice to this morning's Theora-vs-H.264 wars.... ;-)
That isn't quite the same as H264 in hardware, but should have comparable performance and more importantly should improve battery life considerably.
I see a win/win here, if it's opensourced!