Boycott the Button (Facebook Connect)
blog.jakerlevine.com
blog.jakerlevine.com
And the ramp up of any Facebook-Killer is going to be months or years. In that intervening few years, people will be dual-networked: they'll be using the new network with their friends who have the new network, and they'll be using Facebook for the friends that haven't switched or for legacy features (Farmville), sort of like now, where many people have both a Facebook and a MySpace.
And given the existing fundamental lock-in of the network effects, I don't think Facebook Connect is the largest hurdle someone plotting a Facebook-Killer has to overcome.
Examples of this? Mature market leaders are not usually unseated by someone out-doing what they do best. They get blindsided by new approaches or market shifts. No one is going to out-Facebook Facebook, their engineering operations are truly truly amazing. The agility they demonstrate at that scale is mind-blowing, making Google's operations look easy by comparison. That doesn't mean they are invulnerable, just that a head-on attack isn't likely to succeed.
The problem is that a Facebook-Killer has to be able to attract everyone at once, because of the network effects. It can't just be better than Facebook for me, it has to be better than Facebook for most of my friends (who use completely different subsets of the Facebook features), because I'm not switching unless they do. The end result is that the Facebook-Killer, in order to build its network effects, has to have replicated features and new features that make it better than Facebook for a large segment of the population.
A traditional app-killer can duplicate the most used 40-50% of the App's features and toss in a new revolutionary feature, and it'll take off (since most people don't use App's features that AppKiller didn't implement). However, Facebook is like Word - most people only use 20% of the features, but everyone uses a different 20%. So if you want to grab even a third of Facebook's users, you have to re-implement 60% or more of Facebook's features in addition to your killer features.
The Facebook Connect cross-domain receiver URL (http://blog.jakerlevine.com/post/366422034/boycott-the-butto...) must be in the same domain or be in a subdomain of an application's base domain (www.jakerlevine.com). You can configure the base domain in the application's settings.
Anyways, I didn't even check. I just saw it, and it was highly amusing.
I should also point out that I didn't say you were wrong. =) It really was just very, very amusing in light of the post.
Google won the (general) search battle and it's nigh impossible for a young innovative start-up to beat them. Facebook are beginning to assume Google-esque dominance, and no start-up looks at all likely to displace them.
In the end ease of use wins every time.
http://factoryjoe.com/blog/2009/10/01/video-of-my-talk-ident...