Economic Inequality: The Simplified Version
paulgraham.com
paulgraham.com
Both essays feel like they are built on a strawman argument. Nobody serious said inequality was bad or good, not even Piketty. The discussion is about degrees, and PG adds nothing to it by arguing categorically.
That we are talking degrees of inequality is also the reason why economists argue with statistics and do not differentiate much between specific causes or mechanisms on the micro level. Sorry to burst that bubble but PG is not a "creator of inequality" on the level that is interesting. Shifting a few hundred people around means nothing given that we are talking about income and wealth distributions over millions of households in the US alone (and increasing inequality is a global phenomenon). Clearly, tax policy, financial (de)regulation, labor market policies, even the fall of the Soviet Union, etc. are more relevant than petty arguments over whether this startup or that high freq trader made a few mega- or even gigabucks in a nice or not so nice way.
On a sidenote, the relative impacts of the trader vs the startupper on aggregate welfare is not as clearcut as intimated by PG at all, once you take second- and higher-order effects into account. Furthermore, creating wealth for some individuals may also decrease overall inequality; it depends on the starting and end positions of said individuals in the wealth distribution and the other ongoing processes in the economy.
Lastly, economic systems have a lot of feedback mechanisms, both positive (ie destabilizing) and negative (stabilizing). We should at least consider the possibility that past a certain degree of inequality, wealth becomes self-perpetuating. This is especially pertinent for US Americans, given the degenerate nature of their "democracy".
Macroeconomics is mostly closed sytem, not open system like microeconomics. Roughly 70% of US GDP is private consumption (household final consumption expenditure). Startups that build cool products need markets that can afford to buy them.
The top 1%-2% may be wealthy, but as a consumer segment they are not big enough to justify new microprocessor plant or Apple product line. More importantly, rich don't pay for innovation. Luxury phones like Vertu are diamonds and personal service, there is no pressure for innovation. You don't need speech recognition if you can afford personal service. You don't need self driving car if you have a driver or enjoy driving with your Porsche.
It's the middle class who creates demand for high-tech bleeding edge innovations. Who will buy the Oculus rifts and create enough cash flow to carry the VR-industry next 5 years? If the number of upper middle class families drops 5%, will Tesla lose 5% of their sales? The share of the GDP going to the middle class has been falling. It's down roughly 10% from 2000 and something like 30-20% from 70's.
Low income people spend more money into necessities and very small high income population just can't consume enough to be large demand creating force. If the income distribution of the country starts to resemble classical South American country, it will have the economic structure of classical South American country sooner or later.
PG has supply side view of the economy. It's not the whole picture.
With that said, as it becomes easier to start and run a company with less and less human capital more of the value of that company is going to go to the capitalists who invested in said company. This I believe might make that self-perpetuating wealth cycle easier to get into. So, I can see a situation where the aggregate result of this negative pattern across all startups in the economy would outweigh any positive results an individual startup might have on society.
Note, the above is without any policy solutions and is why I strongly believe we need things like a basic income and wealth tax to help stabilize society worldwide as technology continues to make us humans more productive.
I don't have to hate Paul Graham to think that economic inequality by itself, intrinsically retards equality of opportunity.
I hope we can agree that inequality of opportunity is an intrinsically bad thing.
He is talking abstractly, about whether economic inequality is bad and should be targeted. Most people will answer "no" to this.
The major criticisms of pg's points that I've seen are:
1. Your criticism - namely that economic inequality is, in itself, a bad thing. I.e. pg is wrong, we do need to target economic inequality. (I've actually seen this criticism brought up less, I believe)
2. Even if economic inequality is not bad, and we totally buy pg's abstraction that we don't want to target economic inequality on its own - in the real world, concretely, the wealthy are using their economic/political influence to give themselves more (possibly at the expense of others). I.e., pg agrees that we want to promote the good kind of economic inequality (building startups! yay!), and we should discourage the bad kind (stealing money), but misstates how prevalent each of these is. And the people arguing "against" economic inequality are actually just arguing against these specific "rent-seeking" behaviors, not against the concept of economic inequality like pg seems to think.
Btw, I'm not arguing which side is "right" here, I'm just presenting the major arguments as I see them being brought up (by e.g. Mark Suster, some economists [I think I saw Greg Mankiw talking about this topic]).
If parents are allowed to invest in their own children, then inherently, you have inequality of opportunity, since parents have different means and will invest different amounts.
while at the same time worrying about a system that allows Harvard attendees like Mark Zuckerberg to do that but provides virtually no opportunity for students at Orr Academy High School in Lawndale to get to Harvard
If Harvard accepted 10X as many students, it would not be Harvard. If Harvard accepted students based on a lottery, it would not be Harvard. Other than increase financial aid even more, it is not clear what additional actions Harvard could do to increase equality of opportunity, that it is not already doing.
But the reason there aren't that many is that the public sector schools are pretty good. Not perfect, but pretty good compared to what we see in many American states. Teachers jobs are hard to get because they're paid well (and yes, they have a strong union, but let's not derail this point into an argument about their merits). As a result there are very diminishing returns on private schools for kids, and so they aren't so common.
What this means is that most kids are being given an equal opportunity, the same strong education, at the cost of slightly higher taxes. We accept that, generally.
The choices when it comes to left or right leaning policies come down to how much society in general invests in children's future vs how much each parent must invest in their own child's future. When you push too far to the right, the entirety of the child's future is based on how much the parent can invest- and when that happens, we have inequality of opportunity.
I attended four TDSB schools and I must say, they were pretty awful.
Thankfully I got out of that system before high school. I might have gotten involved with the gangs and hard drug trade associated with my nearest high school.
It's that he went to Phillips Exeter Academy.
A high school that costs over $36,000 a year (tack on more than $10k more if you're boarding there).
Zuckerberg is rare among these creatures in that he likes programming and wanted to build something. Most of them are the kind of parasites you can see in a documentary like "Born Rich" (it's on Youtube), who will live luxurious lives off the profit they expropriate off of those of us who do work and create wealth.
They are not people like you, spending months of drudge work going over BSD code back in the mid-1990s to find rfork holes and such, who two decades down the line might see a little payoff due to the efforts of their labor.
"For example, instead of attacking economic inequality, we should attack poverty."
One major underlying cause of poverty is disparate quality of education.
Fix education and you are fixing one major determinate of future economic inequality.
Zooming back out a bit: what are the demographics of successful startup founders? My intuition is that they're not a mirror image of the demographics of the country as a whole. There are a lot more well-off startup founders who went to CMU or Berkeley than there are startup founders from East St. Louis.
It's not a problem if a person picked at random from the population makes 50 million dollars with a photo sharing startup. But it starts looking a lot more like a problem when we're not picking people at random, but instead picking them mostly from the ranks of the most privileged people.
And still! I don't give a shit! I really don't think startups have much to teach us about income inequality and I don't generally believe they're a big Part Of The Problem. I'm much more troubled by the mere idea that startups might be a good lens through which to examine inequality and public policy.
"At the broader social level it means we expect a high degree of social mobility. We hope that the talented children of the poor will ascend to positions of power and prestige while the mediocre sons of the wealthy will not be charged with life-and-death decisions. Over time, in other words, society will have mechanisms that act as a sort of pump, constantly ensuring that the talented and hardworking are propelled upward, while the mediocre trickle downward.
But this ideal, appealing as it may be, runs up against the reality of what I’ll call The Iron Law of Meritocracy. The Iron Law of Meritocracy states that eventually the inequality produced by a meritocratic system will grow large enough to subvert the mechanisms of mobility. Unequal outcomes make equal opportunity impossible.
The Principle of Difference will come to overwhelm the Principle of Mobility. Those who are able to climb up the ladder will find ways to pull it up after them, or to selectively lower it down to allow their friends, allies, and kin to scramble up. In other words: “Whoever says meritocracy says oligarchy.”"
Our system allocates/distributes wealth pretty much at random, but not uniformly random: the RNG is biased towards people with certain backgrounds and/or the already wealthy. So for every "Disadvantaged minority rags to riches" story, you'll find ten "Stanford grad with millionaire parents and prep school education makes even more money" stories. I'd argue that the root societal problem, though, is the jackpot-like randomness, not the skewed distribution.
Won't some people always have more advantages than others because they know more people who happen to be skilled at various things (e.g. technologies) than others? I mean, you have more chance to recruit skilled technologists simply by virtue of being in SV and that fact itself attracts more skilled people to the area.
So people outside the area either relocate or can't compete at quite the same level. Sure, there are other places that are more or less as good, but you're probably not going to have the same connections growing up in, say, Strawberry Point, Iowa.
Deleted comment
You can't say something like this without providing evidence. Why is it ineffective? And why is it bad that it harms the "good" ways too? After all, startups are not good because they cause income inequality. Startups are good for a variety of reasons, and they also happen to cause income inequality, and it's reasonable to argue that this particular generation of income inequality is not intrinsically bad. But the value of a startup is not in the income inequality that it generates, and therefore taking steps to reduce income inequality that happen to reduce the income inequality resulting from startups does not actually mean that it's "harm[ing] the good".
If instead we attack things like usurious debt traps, we actually help people who are being used and abused for having no money.
But this is a political thing now so anyone who doesn't follow the party line will probably provoke a xenophobic tribal reaction rather than responses.
And don't forget as well that the people who get rich off of things like medicine, electricity, computers etc. are often not actually the people who worked hard to create them.
And I can find people who are advancing that sort of extremist position, though I can't say that I understand them very well. See, e.g. - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=10831261
And if so... that Medium post is not advancing an extremist position at all. It's just disagreeing, loudly, with pg. My hunch is that any time someone declares there to be a problem with "income inequality", people like you and pg read that as declaring the problem to exist with any amount of income inequality, when in fact people typically mean extreme income inequality, given some ill-defined measure of extreme (people will always disagree over what "extreme" qualifies as, but I think most people in America agree that we've gone well past "extreme" by anyone's definition).
Edit: When I say it's not advancing an extremist position, I'm talking specifically about income inequality. The post is also arguing against the claim that startups create value, or really that the people who are getting rich in silicon valley are creating value, which is certainly a whole different discussion to be had (though it appears that the author isn't actually saying they aren't creating value, it's just saying that any value they're creating is subjective and not everybody agrees that it is, in fact, valuable). But the bits about income inequality are certainly not extremist at all.
But back to what you're saying, can you give more examples at least? To pick some of the richest (most extreme?) people for wealth inequality, is it wrong that for example, Warren Buffet managed to acquire a lot of money and then give most of it to charity? The problem with advancing an ill-defined position like 'extreme' inequality is that I'm not sure that anyone is on the same page, though based on the abuse hurled at anyone asking questions, it seems like questioning it is equivalent to hating the "poors" (at least, if Medium is to be believed). I can't speak for anyone else, but in my case, I have great sympathy for the poor and I try to help where I'm able.
Is Elon Musk be another example? I'm not sure we'd have SpaceX or Tesla if he wasn't able to get rich. If there's a problem with wealth, I'd say that it's where incentives are misaligned (e.g. a CEO might get a huge bonus by laying people off).
As for value... I think too many people are unfamiliar with the terms as used in economics and that's leading to very confusing posts. Startups may create wealth (new services that didn't exist, new technology, etc.) and that's the important thing. 'Value' is either completely subjective or tied to currency (I repeat myself) so I don't think anything useful comes out of discussing that.
I think a lot of people get distracted over movements of currency, when the real focus should be the increase of global wealth and making sure that everyone has access to at least some basic standard of living. The world has been moving in that direction for a long time and I certainly hope that more people are able to live well in the future, though it seems like energy security is the most likely bottleneck.
Would you really rather have everyone make the same amount of income regardless of what they do?
Startups are good because they create value (although that particular value is highly subjective depending on what the startup is actually doing; a startup that finds a cure for cancer is creating objective value, but a startup that brings the sharing economy to lawn maintenance is much more subjective, as any value it creates for the sharing economy comes at the cost of value destroyed in traditional lawn care services).
Startups also create income inequality. This is not an intrinsically good thing. It is just accepted as the normal way to reward people for taking a risk on a startup.
Given that, the only reason to argue against reducing income inequality generated by startups is if this reduction actually decreases the overall objective value created by startups (if fewer startups are created, but more of them create either more value or value that is more objectively valuable, is that a bad thing?)
Don't forget as well that there are plenty of ways to create value, and to create companies, that don't involve startups. Most businesses in this country aren't startups.
> Would you really rather have everyone make the same amount of income regardless of what they do?
Literally nobody is arguing for that. That's a humongous straw man, it's the same straw man pg used in his original article, and it's complete nonsense. "Reduce income inequality" does not mean eliminate all income inequality.
So you seem to agree that income inequality can be a good thing. If you didn't, you'd want everyone to have the same income. Maybe I misunderstood PG's essay, but the main takeaway I got was that income inequality CAN be a good thing for a society, and that the income inequality caused by successful startups are not an important enough problem (if it is even a problem) to society for us to try to focus on it.
But it should be pretty obvious that extreme income inequality is bad for everyone (or at least, for everyone who doesn't actually possess the extreme wealth that is causing the problem, although even there they might benefit more from having a healthy society than they do from possessing such extreme wealth). How exactly you define "extreme" is debatable, but it's simply absurd to take the position that any argument in favor of reducing income inequality is equivalent to an argument in favor of having zero income inequality across the board.
(emphasis mine)
One of the points of the original essay is that startups don't just happen to cause inequality. On the contrary pg claims that getting rich is precisely what fuels and motivates people to build startups.
> therefore taking steps to reduce income inequality that happen to reduce the income inequality resulting from startups does not actually mean that it's "harm[ing] the good".
The essay explicitly claims otherwise:
"You can't end economic inequality without preventing people from getting rich, and you can't do that without preventing them from starting startups."
I think I side with pg. Never met a person who chose the effort, uncertainty and sleepless nights that come with building a startup without the promise of a financial reward at the end. Every time such a reward is won, we inch a tiny bit towards greater inequality.
Because without the potential for outsized returns significantly fewer would be founders would take the risk.
In a context like this, definitions are everything.
The question sounds absurd as I asked it, but only because it's in response to an equally absurd position. So. What's a non-outsized return?
Your attempt to dodge this eminently reasonable request is absurd and not beneficial to the conversation at all. This appears to be a silencing tactic, trying to force me to not ask for clarification of a position, and refusing to consider why this might be relevant. I do not appreciate your use of this tactic.
Have a nice day.
- Increase the capital gains and inheritance tax so the wealthy pay a comparable tax percentage
- Increase government funding for public education and trade schools
- Increase spending on infrastructure projects (broadband, public transportation)
- Increase the minimum wage
- Lower the influence of the wealthy in politics
Never heard of anyone asking to kill incentives for the ambitious or to stop people from becoming wealthy.
This is the controversial assertion, and it's not argued for here. So I'm not sure how this can help.
edit: As others have clarified, of course there are few people who would object to any degree of economic inequality whatsoever. In the context of this discussion, 'economic inequality' refers to economic inequality on (at least) the scale that we see at present in the US and other wealthy countries, since this is what pg is defending.
I think the effect of valuation may not be so significant on the founders motivation, specially given how you have no idea how large the startup will get from the beginning.
Broadly, I think the answer is yes. Yes they do.
Sure, some founders have gotten filthy stinkin' rich off their startups, but those are lottery-ticket odds. Most founders seem to be aiming for either a self-sustaining small business or an acqui-hire, both of which are middle- to upper-middle-class career paths, but neither are by and large own-your-own-helicopter-class career paths.
That said, I think the answer hold even if you restrict the question to small self-sustaining lifestyle-businesses-size. You correctly state that there is no way of knowing how big a company will get at founding time. However, if there's an upper limit, then this may significantly affect risk evaluation. People will respond to the incentives they see, and you can't kill the incentives without affecting how people behave.
In a broad sense some people don't respond at all to incentives (assuming monetary) and others do respond but its not a recipe for personal happiness.
Personally, that's why I'm such a fan of some sort of basic income. While it reduces inequality it keeps the monetary incentive response as a choice, which ultimately equals more personal freedom.
No basic income is going to make people feel useful and productive. Personal freedom isn't the same as personal fulfillment, after all. Basic income also isn't going to change the kind of inequality you see in the Bay area - where highly skilled professionals make multiple times the basic wage.
I assume you mean some kind of basic income indexed to the local cost of living. Without that people would need to do what people will raise nine kinds of Hell to avoid even thinking about - moving to an area they can afford.
Anyway. I don't think it's an easily evaluated question, in large part because there are good ways to fight poverty (as a government) and ones that are no better than cash-fuelled bonfires. It's difficult to evaluate a kinda-sorta-semi-vaguely-known (change in private spending from higher taxes) against a total unknown (result of hypothetical anti-poverty programs), though.
Which is a long-winded way of saying you're right about it being a quantitative question, but I don't think it's a readily answerable one.
In light of the fact that increasing wealth has diminishing returns in terms of utility, what if the desire for extreme wealth is simply the desire for power? How much power inequality is acceptable in a democratic society? Couldn't you motivate people with fame instead?
The issue is that the human rich and the poor don't exist on separate planets (yet?). One plausible theory, though one I don't argue for or against here, is that as economic power ends up concentrated in fewer and fewer hands, so does political power and the will to change the crappy situation of the poorest, despite the hand-wringing of the more civic-minded rich. This would lead to a world that many people would rank lower than a world with less poverty and more equality.
The details are everything here: if evidence supports the idea that increased inequality raises the economic floor, then we shouldn't worry too much about it. But the people arguing otherwise aren't jealous of their next door neighbor's new car in itself but are worried that, in the actually existing world, increased economic inequality inherently leads to negative social effects.
Not that expensive real estate is bad in itself, but people who work in areas where they can't afford to live - for instance, a hypothetical cop in NY / LA / SF - have three obvious choices:
1> commute, sometimes for hours one-way. One could argue that policing outside of one's neighborhood is bad policing, but for the most part, long commutes are just a drag. And probably will last only as long as it takes for a job closer to home to open up. So now it's a turnover problem.
2> rent control or other "low-income" concession. Waiting lists are long, developers resist creating more supply, and always have to consider the risk of arbitrage.
3> extra jobs / graft - competition for outside security work is pretty tight, and I'm sure we can all agree another cop on the take is something the world doesn't need.
We could try a variant of option 2 and provide housing subsidies for certain professions, something I think the FBI does for agents in certain areas, but then we run the risk of creating castes. I doubt anyone would entertain subsidizing a barista's rent just so they wouldn't have to commute 3 hours to a Starbucks in Beverly Hills. But it might happen for a cop (probably not.)
The degenerate case is all the cops leave and the rich have the opportunity to fend for themselves.
http://ideas.ted.com/the-4-biggest-reasons-why-inequality-is...
Claims 1-3 from your link are claims of instrumental wrongness of inequality claims 1-3 from your link. They point at bad consequences (rich people will control the media, rich people will corrupt the government, rich people will have unfair advantages for their children).
As the author of the article you links points out: "In principle, these effects could avoided, without reducing economic inequality, through such means as the public financing of political campaigns and making high-quality public education available to all children". It's not that inequality necessarily must cause these consequences, it's that it will tend to under some (most?) given policy regimes.
I think I misunderstood your original comment...when you said that "Inequality is not per se bad" was incorrect, I assumed you were making argument #4, which I did not see debated hardly at all. Most people were making some variant on arguments #1-#3.
In which case, I would respond to you: Paul does talk about the bad consequences and bad causes of inequality, and claims that you should address those causes and consequences directly rather than attempt to limit inequality in itself. The argument against this has to come in some form of "well yes, in theory it's possible to limit the bad consequences of inequality, but in practice it's too hard because X and thus we should directly attack inequality".
I didn't see anyone really saying that, everyone seemed to believe Paul thinks inequality doesn't have bad consequences or that he thinks we shouldn't address those bad consequences.
DECLINISTS BE DAMNED: BET ON AMERICA http://intelligencesquaredus.org/debates/past-debates/item/1...
I don’t see Paul Graham out there fighting in any concrete way for improvements to any of the “bad things that cause inequality” he hand-waves away. Where’s his work to improve labor rights, end police brutality, guarantee a functioning healthcare system, track down and close tax loopholes, expose and regulate industrial polluters, or figure out how to save the lives of all the people economically displaced by his startup “disruptor” buddies? Where’s his respect or help for teachers, social workers, doctors, policemen, civil rights activists, local politicians, garbage collectors, journalists, mail carriers, or any of the other people who keep our civil society functioning in return for regular wages. All I see is contempt for those “losers” (quoting from a recent tweet, https://twitter.com/paulg/status/672112234521231361) who don’t want to become rich capitalists.
How does Paul Graham’s imagined perfect society work? If everyone is a startup founder, who is left to be the employees at all these startups, much less do any of the other work we all need for things to keep running.
They’re not on one “team”, but these people have outsized wealth and influence without any kind of accountability to the public. By virtue of having so much money, they can drive the funding of political campaigns (now without any limits or accountability) with less and less counterbalance from the middle class, and do whatever they like to promote their own interests, whether those interests are aligned with the public or not. I claim this is per se bad, even in the case that the plutocrats care about their image or self-image and turn out to be relatively “enlightened”.
Even if Gates and Zuckerberg, e.g., are well meaning philanthropists, there’s no evidence that their interventions are better than anyone else’s would be. Indeed, since they tend to not have a priori knowledge of fields outside whatever made them wealthy to begin with, and they tend to have led relatively charmed lives protected from the struggle of those at the bottom of the social pyramid, their interventions often look like bumbling stabs in the dark, and sometimes cause more harm than they prevent. In education policy for example, Gates and Zuckerberg’s efforts (and the efforts of the Waltons and other billionaires) have mostly been disastrous distractions pushing policy in the wrong direction. https://www.dissentmagazine.org/article/got-dough-how-billio...
Beyond that though, all the good that Gates can do is undone multiple times over by folks like the Koch Brothers, who have explicitly decided to turn their wealth to subverting democracy.
It would be better if we had publicly financed (or small-donor financed) elections, more transparency/accountability for advertising and PR spending of all kinds, and if these folks were taxed at (let’s say) the same rate they were during the Reagan administration, and there’d be plenty of public money to fund whatever charity projects in a publicly accountable way.
I don't think it is.
I do think that it's great that people like Bill Gates invest their billions into improving the healthcare system globally, and the Zuckerbergs have invested large amounts into improving education.
So let's be clear about that. Ending economic inequality would mean ending
startups.
with a straight face. Ignoring the fact that ending economic inequality in a sort of perfect equality is a goal of essentially (yes, I'm sure you can find one dude on a blog somewhere) nobody. And that startups somehow occurred in periods with much less economic inequality.More like a much wiser Uncle telling his inexperienced nephews why they are making a bad decision.
"And that startups somehow occurred in periods with much less economic inequality."
Startups did occur in periods with much less economic equality, but there were also much less government regulations.
PG is saying that the current solutions for economic equality, which is always an increase in taxes and regulations, will mean the death of startups. He's right. It's a warning for the future generations of startups.
Anyone with wealth won't really be effected, because other countries will accept them (and their tax dollars) with open arms.
Look at any of the Nordic countries: They all tout income equality, but your only options for work are the government or a big corporation.
Startups are nearly impossible to get past the initial stages because regulations and taxes kick in and your lifeblood is cut off before you even get a chance to get anything going. Investors also steer clear of the entire region. This is a great indicator that it is not conducive for any sort of small business.
This bottleneck prevents prosperity and creates an environment where citizens are more dependent on big corporations and there is almost no chance of moving up the socioeconomic ladder.
It also means less of a chance of getting a loan from a bank, which is another requirement for someone with no money to start a business.
I've never met a group that tries so hard to sabotage their own future success/vote against their own self-interests.
You keep touting the same rhetoric but i'm afraid you are unwilling to challenge your own ideas.
Like the idea of the wealth just leaving our country. Where are they going to go? China? Socialist european countries? The answer is NO WHERE. Unless they are wealthy enough to just decide to go retire in a cheaper country, the truth is that majority of business owners will find other efficiencies in their operations in order to retain access to things like their: non-immediate family, US workforce (cultural/communication barrier actually do become very important for many service oriented businesses), and the standard of living here. I find the conservative rhetoric that the rich will just "leave us" as absolutely insane. Even if they did leave in droves, good riddance -- short term losses followed my long term progress, are those really the type of American's we should be pandering too? The ones treating the country like an emotionally abused spouse that they will leave as soon as things don't go their way?
It seems like PG haven't really thought this through and is going for a more superficial understanding of economic inequality.
I love his essays on tech and startups but this is an area where his thinking obviously isn't as developed.
It's also good for people to read well argued arguments, that are the opposite to what they believe.
If you only read stuff that you already believe, you haven't really learned anything.
So, PG's logical conclusion is that economic inequality is an inevitable byproduct of technology and capitalism. I'm happy to grant him that. But it seems to me that history (pick your favorite revolution) teaches us that no matter what the inevitable consequences of a given system are, the majority of the people will not stand by and see their economic futures reduced to scraping by.
Which is why I'd love to see more people in the startup community (including PG) discuss what steps could be taken to both incentivize creators while simultaneously making average people better off. Because that's the amazing thing about creating value and growing the pie. Win-win scenarios.
I'm curious why this comment was in the first version and not in the second, simplified version since this was to me the most simplistic point pg made, even going so far as to say "Let's be clear"
Pg seems to be arguing that income inequality and startups are mutually exclusive and if we are to have startups, we must accept some income inequality. Thats what I'm interpreting that to mean at least.
This to me just seems like, why can't we have both? More income equality and startups? I'm not seeing the reasons we cannot
Ending extreme economic inequality would mean founders of successful startups would no longer become absurdly richer than average.
There would absolutely still be people passionate about doing things, and they would absolutely still make startups. Their motivation for doing so would no longer be extreme wealth.
If people choose not to do a startup because it can't make them extremely wealthy, that's perfectly fine.
I see in American society, and maybe the trend extends beyond that, that we idolize people who have a lot of money or notoriety and consequently invest a lot in their opinions on any topic, especially politics, regardless of their qualifications. It's inappropriate.
Person A has more wealth that average, because he or she created a lot more wealth than the average person can create. This is great, startups are one way to do it, let there be more startups!
Person B has more wealth than average because he or she stole a lot more wealth than the average person can create. This is terrible, and must be stopped!
The main issue comes from the details involved in creating or stealing said wealth. Do CEOs create or steal wealth? Probably both. OK, what's the ratio. You can't tell.
Edit: Obviously, I'm not suggesting that there should be no wealth inheritance. But economic inequality can happen in a way that is neither meritocratic nor malicious. And there's tons we can do that recognizes this issue, without banning inheritance (scholarships, after-school programs, etc).
Do you think it's wrong for parents to give things to their children? Do you think it should not be allowed to let them ensure that their children will never have to worry about money?
I personally don't.
...except perhaps if its very rich people you can not equate with, so you don't see the harm of taking 1-99% of their unfathomable riches and leaving them still having a fortune beyond your dreams.
oh, so you mean stealing is OK as long as it's from people you're jealous of?
The problem I have with that is that it's a foot in the door[1]. You begin with taking from ultra-rich people, expecting me to be ok with that. And then you take from slightly less rich people, and then even less rich and so on until you claim it's ok to take from anyone who's less poor than you.
So no, I don't want to let envious poor people rob rich people, no matter how rich they are.
Or we should take from Persons C's parents who made good decisions and not allow them to pass on their success to their children, thus eliminating the benefits of the wealth created by C's and D's ?
I'd say just that Person B inherited or otherwise did not personally create the wealth that they currently own.
You can tell an organization's priorities by it's finances. For a country, it's main revenue stream is taxation. Fix the unequal taxation (i.e. capital and inherited/transferred wealth being taxed at a lower rate that earned profits & direct work) and you will begin to repair wealth inequality.
Grand theft is already a crime, how else do you 'steal wealth'??
"Do CEOs create or steal wealth?"
CEOs don't 'steal' wealth.
They are paid to do a job that pretty much nobody can actually do, which is why they are paid so well. If I know a good CEO can make my company $30 million dollars, I have no problem paying him $5 million/year.
This is like saying a general has no purpose in the military because they aren't actually fighting.
They're not usually focused on CEOs specifically, but the main argument is that wealthy people use their wealth to give them political influence, which helps them pass laws that "unfairly" benefits them. (Or, if you don't want to bring fairness and morality, we can just say that wealthy people pass laws that make it more likely for them to remain wealthy, regardless of whether other people are impacted badly by this).
This is a straw man, not an argument. Poor people have political influence too. With the popularity of Twitter and social networks, everyone does. If you don't like what a politician is doing, go out on Twitter and start a #hashtag campaign against them.
It has gotten many political figures, CEOs, and even regular employees fired.
For example by colluding with your competitors not to poach each-other's employees, thereby lowering your employees salaries, and stealing wealth directly from your employees. That's exactly what CEOs do. Even the Holy Steve Jobs himself.
Practically speaking, how do you reduce poverty, provide better health care and education without some form of wealth redistribution? Perhaps there are ways (I am all ears) - but progressive and fair taxation seems like a pretty reasonable approach.
Thank you for clarifying your points, hopefully it will help make this rebuttal equally clear. Economic inequality is bad not because of what causes it, but because of the effects it has on society. The problems boil down to issues of influence, both in the economic and political spheres. The wealthier someone gets, the more opportunity they have to game the system for their own advantage. Even if we're not aiming to eliminate the rich/poor divide completely, we still have a responsibility to ensure concentration of power is limited. This is why economic inequality is an issue.
The best example I have is the Bay Area housing market. While it is true that a lack of new construction has a role in rising costs, so does the gulf between the lowest and highest paid workers. Where income inequality is high, but people are still competing for the same scarce resources, prices are going to get further and further out of reach for people at the low end.
Arguably, an influx of relatively highly paid workers is a result of wealth being "created", but if I'm the janitor at Stanford who has to commute from Stockton [1], does it actually matter why there is income inequality?
Income inequality means, regardless of how it is generated, that a huge amount of wealth is being created and the benefits are being concentrated to a few people. And in the case of where I live, it means things that things that used to be accessible to lots of people have been placed out of reach. It doesn't matter how it happened. Until income inequality is reduced (e.g. income at the low end increases), or something fundamental about the way markets work changes, people are still going to get hurt.
[1] http://ww2.kqed.org/news/2015/03/28/long-commute-to-silicon-...
Startups, ie Innovation, is of course good, it is almost entirely responsible for economic growth (simple population growth being the other).
The inequality question is about how to distribute the benefits. Especially with tech startups the benefits have gone disproportionately to the founders or early investors. Particularly when these startups "disrupt" an existing industry that employs many, then that is clearly problematic. Additonally, capitalism itself delivers the most gains to those who already have.
Of course some degree of inequality is entirely fair, but much larger taxes on the rich (preferably in the form of pre-distribution) do not stop the rich wanting to do what they do, but if handled properly, can vastly improve the lot of the poorest and give a helping hand to those who want to advance themselves but can't afford it.
Economic Inequality is not bad per se, too much inequality is. At extremes, societies tend to tear apart in violence.
Startups are good. But execs get rewarded for dodging taxes, laying people off, global labor arb, and automation. It's not surprising inequality is increasing. There's tradeoffs in everything.
For all the hulabaloo about income inequality, tax policy could easily reverse the trend. It's not that complicated. It's a political, not an economic challenge.
The problem is the people on the rentier side of the economic inequality scale are doing the opposite. They want poverty. The need poverty. It is the cornerstone of the rentier system.
Here is a BusinessWeek article: http://www.businessweek.com/1999/99_44/b3653163.htm
What does it see as the problem? Unemployment is too low. Too many people who want to work are working. Businessweek sees this as a problem. CEOs and LP's and rentiers see this as a problem.
Workers work. They create wealth. A carpentry shop has carpenters bang wood and nails together to make tables. The workers labor creates wealth - wood and nails becomes a table which costs more.
For the first six hours a day the worker keeps the wealth they create - their wage. The rest of that revenue goes for replenishment of supplies - wood, nails, 1/90th of a hammer cost etc.
For the last two hours a day, the worker is not paid the wealth they create. It goes in profit to the heir who owns the manufacturing plant. The worker's surplus labor time is being expropriated by the heir.
If unemployment was low, if poverty was lessened - then those who work could demand to be paid for more of their time. Increasing unemployment, increasing poverty lessens the chance of this happening.
The LP's, the heirs want poverty. It's an essential cornerstone of their profit and expropriation.
Centuries ago, most of the world were farmers under feudalism (or hunter/gatherers etc.) There was not structural unemployment then. Lords wanted farmers working hard to sow during planting and reap during harvest. Only in our modern age of capitalism do those who control production desire poverty, unemployment etc. That Businessweek article lays out a portion of that ideology, it's been spoken of elsewhere for a long time.
The idea that the heir LP's on the other end of the inequality divide want poverty to end is absurd. The reserve army of labor is a foundational necessity of the system.
Which is why so many people suggested changing other things that would reduce or eliminate economic inequality. Suggestions included limiting the ratio between highest paid employee and lowest paid, or changing tax structures, etc.
Is inequality really that bad if the low paid employee still lives an excellent life, and is out poverty? What difference does this make?
Taxes may mitigate the conversion of wealth into currency. For example in the US, this has a big negative impact on stock option holders when they buy their options at a strike price lower than the current valuation. At this point you have to pony up cash to the IRS even if they newly acquired stock is illiquid. As such many people may not exercise because they can't afford them and the taxes. this is a form on inequality as well... and the options return to the company.
Raising taxes could mitigate inequality but various perks or bank guaranteed loans could be arranged to circumvent the loss of benefits associated with taxing wealth (as seen in the past).
In addition Stock ownership allows the public participation in wealth generation so taxing theconversion to currency is likely negative and would be a driver of increased inequality since only the rich would buy stock (more so than now?).
So that's one side of the argument.
Studies show FB can have a negative effect on happiness. In the tech startup playbook is stated that you need to make your site/app addictive. Well we've mastered that now and it must cost billions of dollars with people's time being wasted on crap.
Even startups geared toward productivity aren't that impactful in the grand scheme, they tend to make life more convenient and only when enough customers can be found at the right pricepoint.
We're training people to be distracted by trivialities and stuff that doesn't matter. Many venture backed startups are exposing the defects of the way economy functions and just how poor we are at delivering the value that is truly needed.
We don't really need another gadget or app, we need to fix the way society has painted a growing number of people into a corner. Income inequality is just one way to expose the symptoms of an increasing problem, a problem that isn't really being focused on by startups because startups are born and survive by exploiting leverage that can be turned into profit.
I think this is a philosophical disagreement that won't be solved by clarification of ideas.
* We allow both startups and inequality.
* We attack both startups and inequality.
This is perhaps most clearly articulated in this quote:
"You can't end economic inequality without preventing people from getting rich, and you can't do that without preventing them from starting startups."
And here strikes the controversy: on average the hacker community has a favorable view of startups while also opposing economic inequality (this is at least my general impression).
Perhaps the optimal solution is a compromise that allows startups and inequality while providing a system that eliminates the most undesirable effects of inequality. There are already systems in place to prevent extreme poverty, to ensure some minimum access to education and healthcare etc.
From the remaining issues the most pressing one is the problem of excessive concentration of political power. A system that weakens the link between money and political influence seems necessary.
Well back in the day it was, I don't think an article like this would have been that controversial on hackernews many years ago. A lot of pauls earlier writing has similar stances.
As more people have joined, it moved quite heavily to the left.
That would've been true if there was no non-profit startups.
Maybe we should start taxing corporations the same way we tax the average person, no more tax heavens and special tax laws, everyone pays the same unique percentage from earnings/profits and from the extra cash the government can provide a social service to allow everyone who meets certain requirements to start a startup.
Unfortunately governments are bought by corporations and they get special treatment, they get bigger and not only we all pay higher taxes because they pay less but it's also harder to start a company because of oligopolies and government special treatment for the 1%
Or you could bootstrap it.
Yes, on the whole startups create wealth and that's generally a good thing. BUT... there is a still an open question as to whether the current SV culture and associated wealth inequality is entirely "good." In other words, it's not a binary question.
There is all sorts of financial chicanery associated with startup wealth that make it decidedly unmeritocratic. I've known a number of founders make millions with unprofitable companies that hardly contributed millions of dollars worth of value to the world. As far as I'm concerned, its a virtual certainty that the current startup allocation of capital is not efficient in a utilitarian sense.
This is such an anemic statement in the face of the reality of corporate fraud such as, "HSBC escapes action by City regulator following Swiss tax scandal" [0]
The biggest fault in the essay, in my view is not acknowledging and exploring the externalities in economics described. While the big end of town scams its way to profit, what hope has an individual?
Creating tech startups is one way to profit from this imbalance.
[0] http://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/jan/04/hsbc-escapes...
I don't know why we're even talking about such overbroad themes, even in the longer version. Whether you believe you can "create wealth" or not, poverty is quite simply a central facet of inequality; it is part of the DEFINITION of inequality. Poverty IS inequality, along with riches. All it means, is there's an income or wealth distribution curve whose slope is nonzero.
There is no conceptual definition of inequality that doesn't include poverty. If everyone had the same wealth, that, by definition, is a situation of 1) no inequality 2) no poverty
Whereas as soon as some people have more, and others have less (which is quaintly known as a little thing we call "inequality") there is a phenomenon crying out to be described, and that phenomenon is: A poorer group exists. There is poverty. Even if the poorer group is only just slightly poorer. Which interestingly indicates that poverty is inherently comparative. Equality is absolute; inequality is always relative. Just like in math.
You probably think you happen to have a lot, and people in the Third World happen to not have a lot. No. You have a lot, BECAUSE the people in the Third World don't have a lot. And they have less BECAUSE you have more. The corporations working on your behalf extracted that wealth from them, and conveyed it to you. (And to themselves of course.) And when those people try to immigrate to your country they are just trying to follow their own money to your doorstep.
Anyway the thing everybody hates and wants to fight is not that "some people make money" but that "the Paul Graham class" can buy themselves a Congressman. They can emit ridiculous brain-farts over and over (Musk) and the media fawningly fellates. They can invest in a thing and slavish people infer directly from that, "Wow, must be real valuable!" Inequality confers unfair political advantage which leads to disproportionate opportunity which leads to further inequality in the same direction. It is not a self-stabilizing system inherently. It is prone to excesses and failure, and a shity quality of life for the majority on its way to getting there. Go ahead and push that as far as you can, see what happens.
Its like men talking to women about sexism in the workplace, or able-bodied people talking about the abundance of disabled access everywhere, white people talking about racism against black people etc.
You don't have to be wrong, or have flaws in your reasoning, to make a socially naive commentary that is easily perceived as insensitive (regardless as to meaningful content).
There is one type of correctness, it is called 'correctness' everything else, 'political correctness' included is a flavour of 'wrong'.
Its also easy to overreact when you consider yourself to have been misjudged for poorly conveying a point. :)
More NEWS at 11
Like most things in politics, action happens in the grey area,and I don't think trying to argue against extremes poses much benefit.
Technology is increasing returns to capital vs labor. One day, robots, 3d printing, and AI services (e.g. self driving everything), may put the majority of human beings out of a job. How can entrepreneurs or capitalists even get rich if the majority of people's work has no surplus value?
In such an end state, the concept of regular folks working is practically extinct and there should be a basic income, so that the massive returns to automation continue to benefit everyone and provide income for people to spend. Think of it as an extreme version of social security: Instead of 1 worker supporting 10 retirees, you have 1 robot, or 1 AI supporting hundreds of "retirees" (from birth) using "wages" that are no longer paid to the robot (labor), but to the capitalist.
Hans Moravec in _Mind Children_ outlined a version of this 20 years in how increasing productivity from automation will gradually produce a society that looks more like a hunter gather society and less than an industrial one, in that the basic needs of the population will literally "grow" on trees (robotic manufacturing bush robots)
My point is, if you want to look at extremes, then extreme unchecked technology and inequality will produce a degenerate broken economy in the long run, so quite clearly, there must be mitigating factors to keep the capitalist system going.
I like PG's framing of the issues, but dislike his conclusions, which are unsubstantiated and basically fall to a kind of nativist/natural fallacy, that because something is a natural driving force, it should not be opposed, or else bad things will happen.
History is replete with humans changing their natural physical or economic environment, and we will continue to do so.
I think one can address economic inequality and it would not prevent startups or "big winners". Moreover, I'd argue that living in a society where failure doesn't mean abject poverty, possibly a life long impact, encourages people to take more risks, and that overall, if we have in place a safety net, and fix issues with racial inequality especially, it'll be a boon for the startup economy, not a negative one. That's an unsubstantiated claim as well, but if you comparatively look at other countries, you can't really find a tight correspondence between the level of social welfare and failure of startup culture. But you can see improved social mobility, and having superior mobility and racial/cultural diversity I'd argue helps in building companies which scale globally.
ALSO, since pretty people inherited good genes and didn't work for it, I also propose taxing physical beauty by making pretty people look uglier by 30-40%(call it 'inheritance sexual tax'). That way, already ugly people will look great in comparison.
That's a highly debatable assertion. I really wish he would explain why he thinks startups are "good".
Startups provide service/product that people are willing to pay for.
You must be providing some value to those people for people use or pay for your product. Maybe because it's convenient, quicker or better.
And startups add that value for millions of users.