HN needs to post new stories on the front page to give them a chance
blog.styleguidance.com
blog.styleguidance.com
As HN grows, however, this will change: it will be absolutely required for you to get your friends to upvote in that critical window to have any chance of hitting the FP. That's not a good road to go down, so I think it's definitely time to adjust the way it works.
That said, I also think it's really important to ensure that the title you submit is properly phrased. The articles that have received the most votes have inevitably been the ones I put some time into rewording to appeal to HN users.
I'm more speaking for the people who write their own stuff(sivers, asmartbear etc). Who spend 2-3 hours putting an interesting article together, only to have it die in the new bin.
For example, I get asked all the time how I got my site to 35K visits in 2 months. And I'd love to share. But I always put it off because I know there is a 90% chance it'll never get off the new page.
Why should I spend 3-5 hours putting that article together with graphs and data, if I know for a fact that there is 99% chance that it'll die. I got a site to run, I can't throw away my time like that.
In fact the only articles of mine that actually made it to the front page, were those which I linked to from another relevant discussion. Those got 40-60 upvotes. But if I didn't link them from a relevant thread, they'd be stuck in the new page like all the other submissions.
But just like making music, I write what I write because it helps me to put down my thoughts, how many others read it, find it useful and/or comment on it is really not that big a deal to me, though I'm always very happy when there is some kind of interaction around something I write. Usually I learn as much from the feedback and the comments as I did from doing whatever it was that I wrote about in the first place.
If I knew the article would have a chance on HN, I'd probably put a little bit more priority on it.
So far as the value of 'x%' goes, there are certainly ways you could game the current system in your favor: linkbait the title to appeal to a very specific demo, get a few friends lined up for a quick upvote... it doesn't seem like it would be too much trouble. I often see very recently submitted articles with 3-4 upvotes at or near the top of the homepage. If the only reason you're writing is for traffic, there certainly appears to be a lot of opportunity. Am I wrong?
If it never makes it to the front page, where 99% of the people view the stories, then all that effort was for naught. And I might as well save my time.
either way, i feel like stories get big and hang around even though they're getting more and more upvotes simply for being on the front page. when i page down it's just the big stories from a couple days ago that i already read.
if more new content filtered in that would be better.
also, categories, or some way to filter the stories would be hot. again, i want to see more content.
i do look at new, but the problem is that the step down is from 50+ comments to 0 comments, lots of filtering to no filtering.
i don't want to read unfiltered, uncommented articles anymore than the next person, nor do i want good new articles to be bombed by a lack of views or the first vote being negative.
perhaps we can develop a small group of people dedicated to the task, either for extra or separate karma, or simply to be part of a group doing a good job. the IBM bug-finding black suits comes to minds. this could also be a good task for n00bs to grow their karma faster, though i suspect we'd also have to work in more experienced folks in order to pass on appropriate hacker news culture.
I think this is a great idea. As someone who visits multiple times a day and see most of the same content (like a lot of other people I'm sure) it would be awesome to be able to hide stories to create room for others.
Submissions aren't really flying here, you get one story every 2-3 minutes. Plenty of time for a few people to like a story and vote it up.
A potential way of displaying this would be to simply interleave the home and the new page.
I think that a better way to handle it would be to allow users to whitelist/blacklist users, and set up a separate "incoming" section, sorted by recency. Users that you already know, you put on the whitelist and all of their links stay on the page. Blacklisted users never go to the "incoming" section.
You could also put "degrees of trust" on the whitelist and have links from users that are on the whitelist of your whitelisted users.
The goal was to circulate new content to all users and at the same time reduce the chances of gaming the system (we were frustrated by the digg "power user" submissions).
Needless to say, it sits dormant now but we're both glad reddit and digg have implemented similar features.
Usually 1 upvote is enough for a story less than an hour hold to get a shot.
I'd say the Sivers and the asmartbear posts would hit the front page, if they were featured there even for a second.
The asmartbear post on what you need to do at a tradeshow is now at 2 points, and no where near the front page.
The Sivers post on building intimacy is now at 3 points, and is also nowhere near the front page
You could make the front page longer, of course, but then I'm sure some set of people would complain about that.
Mahmud pointed out an excellent example of that happening and I have seen plenty of others.
Go visit the last page of the 'new' section and have a look at all the stuff that was lost. It's really a pity.
And plenty of 'fluff' does get upvoted.
HN only needs 2 votes to get something on the front page. Not all interesting topic will hit the FP, and not everything I consider interesting is also true for others.
Its not perfect system, mostly because, in this case, perfect is subjective.
For instance I absolutely dislike ~90% of Tech Crunch crap posted here, but I have to live with the fact that others find Tech Crunch drama interesting.
i.e.
First 2 minutes? 1 upvote.
4 minutes: 2 upvotes
6 minutes: 3 upvotes
8 minutes: 4 upvotes
etcBut it's not a set time or point scale, it's based on what's currently on the front page, how old those stories are, and how many points they have.
The one thing I do agree with is that after a certain timeframe, I do wish even the most popular stories decayed more quickly.
(1) Make it so that each user only sees a deterministic subset of 'new' (unless they try really hard to enable 'all'). Essentially, this means every 'new' article is seen by a random panel of users, and stays on the 'new' page longer. Tinkering with the assignment function could achieve any balance between submissions/users/views/duration-on-first-page that is preferred.
(2) Segment 'new' by number-of-votes-already-received. Make the default 'new' only 1-vote stories. Only allow viewing and voting on 2-vote stories by people who have already cast a vote on a 1-vote story, and so forth. (That is, force people to pay more attention to those less-reviewed, before piling-on to already-popular stories.)