Who can forecast more than 1 year out with any degree of certainty?
Just because it's difficult to forecast a year out also doesn't mean that it shouldn't or can't be done especially since investors themselves have to assume that they won't be able to exit within a year. Coming up with better projections for ROI just adds more datapoints from the very people/entrepreneurs who should know their space/market best (especially in more stable industries - I note that Wilson emphasizes that this is how he thinks of non-tech businesses).