Long Bets

If anyone is up for it, I'm willing to bet $10,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 that there will be no hyperinflation in the US.

A little poking around shows that this is supported by the Long Now Foundation. They always write dates with five digits: 02010. They are trying to build a monument called the clock of the long now, which is meant to last 10,000 years.

If you read the article about Brian Eno yesterday then this is another example of his influence in all manners of things. He sits on the board.

I admire the foundation if only due to the scope of it's ambitious endeavors.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Long_Now_Foundation

I would love to be the challenger on #382, "Large Hadron Collider will destroy Earth". It seems betting that this will not happen is a really good position.

I predict that by January 25, 2015, pure-managed operating systems will, combined, occupy 10% or more of the computing market (desktops, servers, mobile, and other embedded computers). Pure-managed operating systems being defined as operating systems completely written in managed languages which permit direct memory access only for hardware access in drivers.

I'll throw $1000 down on this; anyone want to challenge it?

The best part is the justification arguments from each side.

Netflix has 17,000 titles on instant watch and and 11 million subscribers. I think that's a win for number three. Even though many subscribers only use the dvd-by-mail service, I'd argue that the instant streaming is still "offered" to them as it's included with all of the subscriptions.