Prescient New York Times article about Japan and oil, 1935: http://query.nytimes.com/mem/archive/pdf?res=9F02E1D6123DE53...
And the US military was busier in China that you might think: http://query.nytimes.com/mem/archive/pdf?res=9803E1D6163BE43...
http://query.nytimes.com/mem/archive/pdf?res=9D0DE2DF1E38E43...