What happens when a culture is driven by the need for money to make more money
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I figured out in 2009, when I was working at a hedge fund trying to bid on the assets of bankrupt banks post financial crisis.
Basically, every branch loses money to gain depositors. All the fees on monthly accounts, safety deposit boxes, ATMs, cashiers checks, etc. do not offset the cost of the office and employees. However, if the loss is small compared to the volume of deposit money the branch attracts, then the bank headquarters has "borrowed" money at a very low cost.
I think a typical suburban Countrywide or Washington Mutual branch was losing about $100K/yr but had deposits of $20M; not bad at all considering Fed Funds had been around 5.25% until fall of 2007, and that having the capital was the life blood necessary to do all the profitable operations (originating mortgages, credit cards, student loans, EDIT: meet regulatory capital requirements, etc). In Midtown, those numbers might be multiplied many fold, so very few retail stores can compete and stay profitable.
Retail banking locations are a market-share grab. They want to make it as convenient as possible to put your savings in a bank, because then they have access to your deposits, which can be loaned out as a lucrative product.
It's much like the Chrome Omnibox or Google Toolbar for Google, or the Facebook mobile app. These derive no revenue, but they make it as convenient as possible to use the company's products. That user attention can then be sold to advertisers for a nice profit.
Ditto Hacker News as well - your comments here don't benefit YCombinator at all, and they have to spend money maintaining & moderating it. However, insightful comments on HN attract intellectual people interested in startups, which are YCombinator's prime customer demographic, and so your contributions here are effectively very cheap advertising for YCombinator.
Oh, and they didn't become insolvent handing out crappy mortgages.
But my primary checking and money management accounts (business and personal) are with a major national bank. For cash flow, access, and generally moving money around it's hard to beat the convenience.
I like to have cash at the ready but that doesn't matter to the bank. They get 1 or 2k for nothing.
Would it be better not to have deposits and loans?
I suspect that you (and probably other readers) are injecting some of the sentiment around the "You're the product, not the customer" meme that surrounds advertising-supported tech companies. I don't think those are bad things either, but a number of other HN readers do. I'm just pointing out that this business model has existed for centuries.
http://bankunderground.co.uk/2015/06/30/banks-are-not-interm...
Whatever money they lose on wages, construction, depreciation, amortization, overhead, etc. they make up on the appreciating underlying value of the land, increased brand presence (read: expensive advertising), and increased ability to secure federal funds due to higher assets as collateral on their balance sheet.
This could make for an interesting leading indicator for a real estate cooldown, and even a recession if extrapolated out:
When commercial banks start closing down commercial branches, we can conclude that either a) value generated by the appreciation of the real estate is slowing down or b) the value of the deposits in the area is not growing fast enough (people are not saving, with banks at least).
Also, it's worrying to see the that the true value of a branch is that of an investment and an asset against which to secure cheap federal loans. That these unprofitable branches exist for these purposes implies a huge misdirection of resources and energy from sustainable demand creation to rent-seeking, speculation, and poor fiscal policy that incentivizes banks to prop up hot real estate markets in order to secure Fed funding.
The Citibank branch that I use will be closing in January...
I don't think banks are generally prohibited from investing in real estate, subject to other risk-based capital and liquidity requirements. If there's some loophole that results in an owned branch being treated differently from investment real estate, I'm not aware of it.
In NYC anyway, banks typically rent branches. They don't want to be in the real estate and property management business, although they often end up in it involuntarily after foreclosures.
I'm not sure how bank investments in real estate work, but as long as a branch is bringing in a steady flow of deposits it would be much more attractive than a standard real estate investment.
Those deposits bolster the bank's reserve requirement [1] and the banks then earn interest (0.25%) on these reserves as of 2008.[2]
In a world of zero and negative interest rates on short-term, safe debt, [3] I would imagine deposits would be an attractive revenue stream for a commercial bank with guaranteed upside and little downside, and that the major cost of leasing/buying the real estate to set up a branch would be negligible, especially if the land was increasing in value.
So branches will be shut down when the land starts decreasing in value, or when the flow of deposits into the banks slows down due to a lower propensity to save (not likely in a recession), or due to people earning less disposable income in the first place (more likely in a recession + stagnant wage growth). Both are very bad signs for the economy.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reserve_requirement
[2] http://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/reqresbalances....
[3] http://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-treasury-bonds-pull-back-144...
money => more money ------- (1)
money <=> power ----------- (2)
(1) and (2) over time will result in the bifurcation of society into two groups: the rich and powerful, and the rest. This probably doesn't apply to corporations though.We're less than 100 years from one of the richest people of all time, JD Rockefeller (net worth ~$300+bn). His family is essentially dedicated to giving that money away at this point, and I believe the family's net worth at this point is in the $15bn range--not peanuts, but hardly growing.
Money doesn't last, but there are always rich people. Paris Hilton, trust fund baby, has made more money from her own businesses than she'd ever inherit from her grandfather. Same with Julia Louis-Dreyfus. But after a couple of generations, the old money is usually gone. As much as people like to complain about "the rich", there really aren't as many generationally-rich people as some make it seem.
[1] http://www.forbes.com/sites/kerryadolan/2015/03/02/inside-th...
But that is a question of who belongs to the 0.01% and who belongs to the 1%. It's not a very interesting social mobility study and I agree with you that the "rich get richer" argument makes no sense for the super rich outliers.
Unfortunately, things do get a lot more predictable at the lower percentiles.
William Henry Gates the Third had a trust fund before he was born. His downside risks for anything he chose to do in life were completely nonexistent. Same with Zuck. Same with Spiegel. Same with 99% of the entrepreneurs HN idolizes.
Here's some light reading:
http://qz.com/455109/entrepreneurs-dont-have-a-special-gene-...
http://philip.greenspun.com/bg/
EDIT: Removed potentially inflammatory line, which went as follows: "Just a bunch of rich kids trying to prove a point to their parents".
This is definitely a personal opinion, but one that has merit if you examine the evolutionary psychology of parent-child relationships. The conversation is a bit in depth, but please understand that I was not trying to simply fire off an ad hominem. I was instead trying to hint at the incentives which drive an already rich child to strive for more wealth. For the vast majority of us who have to work for a living, such behaviors seem confusing. Only upon deeper analysis do the pyschological incentives for such individuals begin to make sense.
You appear to be refuting a claim that was not made in the GP post or in the Forbes article they cited.
Grandparent only said that Gates is among the top 3 riches and is not going to pass on his wealth, they did NOT claim that Gates was born poor or otherwise among the self-made millionaires.
Similarly Forbes lists Gates as the richest person, but makes no claims whatsoever about how he made his fortune. There are two independent claims there and at no time does either source claim that Gates is in the self-made group.
Your QZ article is more responsive, but it boils down to saying that one needs access to capital to start a business. This is not really surprising and ensuring that any capable person can get funding is why we have things like YC. If there's any group out there with good ideas that's being systematically ignored or denied funding, you and anyone else could make big money by investing in them. All you need to do is prove there's an opportunity being ignored and people will jump on it, chasing the money.
You had me until there. Why question their motives? Is it really so hard to believe that Gates really loved computers?
If he was just thinking in terms of outstripping his parents, there were lots of other more-credible avenues available to him. The very idea of a personal computer was scoffed at. Not just by non-techies, but people like DEC founder Ken Olsen.
@Natsu, my point of contention is the very liberal definition of "self-made" and "made their money themselves". If you give every reader on HN a trust fund, and a few start successful companies, would these individuals be considered "self-made"?
I don't think so. Self made means start with zero net worth. That means no trust funds, no loans at 0% from parents with infinite payback periods, and no parent board members making absurdly lucrative deals that you'd never get otherwise. Just money you've made from your own labor, and loans you've received without nepotism. You'd be surprised how few entrepreneurs fall under this category.
If you don't restrict your definition in this way, then every rich person is self made, because the interest accruing in their trust fund happened during their lifetimes.
Most rags to riches stories we have these days, are really a relatively well off to riches stories when you look at them. The only exceptions are people who won the celebrity lottery.
It's surprisingly hard to accumulate wealth when you're struggling to keep the lights on.
Someone who has more discretionary income can take on more risk than someone who can't keep their lights on, and a failed venture doesn't have the same consequences.
Just by virtue of taking more risk, those in the middle class are expanding their chance of success by orders of magnitude more.
I'd dare say it's impossible for the middle class to not to become "mega rich" at a greater incidence than poor becoming middle class.
> There’s no doubt that entrepreneurship is thriving globally. Fully 1,191 members of the list are self-made billionaires, while just 230 inherited their wealth. Another 405 inherited at least a portion but are still working to increase their fortunes.
Not sure how "at least a portion" is defined, but I imagine less than half had significant inheritance. That's not to say the self-made billionaires were born middle class, but it does suggest that wealth does not necessarily beget wealth.
I guess what I'm saying is they all want the world to think they made their own money. All are modern day Horiatio Algiers?
So, I don't buy Forbes figures; "There’s no doubt that entrepreneurship is thriving globally. Fully 1,191 members of the list are self-made billionaires, while just 230 inherited their wealth. Another 405 inherited at least a portion but are still working to increase their fortunes."
Exactly how did Forbes come up with these numbers? I quickly looked at the list, and I buy the athletes didn't have much help, but the rest; I wouldn't bet on it. They had a lot of unseen help. Yea, you can always find a few exceptions, but I bet it's less than 10 individuals.
http://www.pewtrusts.org/en/research-and-analysis/reports/20...
Calling the US a 'feudal' state is obviously hyperbolic, but it's most definitely a classist society.
The risks for dating your assistant or a nurse are higher compared to what it was 30-60 years ago for example. Now it's safer to date someone at the same income level. Or someone in the same social group but outside of work, which will tend to be the same income level again compared to a workplace.
The other part is probably driven by how there are more dual income families competing for the same limited resources, such as housing, making the income of your spouse more relevant.
Additionally, I think you are conflating education with social standing, when they are somewhat different, and there have been different levels of social pressure against doing either at different times in history.
http://www.nber.org/papers/w19829
I agree that females who would have become nurses and secretaries in the past are now becoming physicians and executives, and without doubt this a good thing. My observation is just that by solving one problem (limited opportunities for women to become professionals) we inadvertently encouraged another (assortive mating on the rise which reinforces inequality).
It's also interesting you mention social pressure at different times in history. I am working my way through Downtown Abbey at the moment and it reminds me that throughout history there have been strong pressures for people to marry within their own class/caste systems. Probably for many reasons, but one of them is certainly the maintenance of wealth and power, which has typically been far less equal throughout those historical periods than the US is today. The post WW1 period in the US has been the exception not the norm.
That's the uncontroversial perspective, yes. The more controversial, but far better-supported-by-evidence perspective is that the estimated 40-80% contribution that genes make to people's intelligence, conscientiousness, and work ethic is much more likely to be at play, here.
I don't think you really need to get into genetics to explain anything here. Some people get lucky, their children inherit their wealth and maybe squander it after a few generations, or maybe they don't. Neither the parents nor the children need to be particularly smart; they just need to get lucky.
Using money as a measure of intelligence is very risky. On the one hand, sure, everyone wants to be filthy rich (presumably) so there's a lot of competition. On the other hand, there are large swaths of the whole world population that will find it impossible to be the next Zuckerberg or the next Bill Gates- say, a daughter of a Bangladeshi weaver is probably not going to travel to Silicon Valley and fund the next unicorn startup, sell it for billions and bequeath some of them to her children.
That's not because of a difference in intelligence with someone who will follow that path. It's because we can't fit 7 billion people in Silicon Valley, and a few tens of thousands of jobs in tech.
I guess you can argue that the people who are already in Silicon Valley have some sort of genetic advantage but unfortunately that way lies a whole bunch of very gnarly racial bias that is going to be extremely fiddly to untangle. Therefore, see above: using money as a measure of intelligence is very risky.
hah, ok, go ahead and make that claim with zero links to back it up. Please, tell me more about eugenics.
Women have mad inroads in the workplace. Women don't necessarily look to 'marry up' and stay home, they can be the executive now.
The secretary still gets married, she's just the second wife.
Take 5 minutes to read this, it articulates what the author failed to (and as a result reached a conclusion of little use):
http://www.socred.org/index.php/blogs/view/it-s-time-for-an-...
Think of the banks everywhere. They are today's churches. Big spacious lobbies. Stand in awe not at the creativity but at the sheer amount of high value real-estate they can waste.
The guy writing this article doesn't understand the wider dynamics at all. It's about money creation and the use of that to ramp land prices in order to compel everyone to hand over part of their labour.
As you note if you have money you can get more of it because you can leverage it. But that's only part of the picture.
I'd encourage everyone to read the above link and also Henry George "progress and poverty"
http://www.amazon.com/Progress-Poverty-Industrial-Depression...
If you could point me to a single bank president who says his goal is to "compel everyone to hand over part of their labour," I might find this believable. Otherwise it reads like an Us vs. Them Marxist diatribe. Red meat for the proletariat, no different than the Tea Party.
I agree that there are systemic forces at work, and that they should be changed, but it's silly to impute dark intentions.
(By esoteric motivation, I mean either an "underlying" motivation or an "epiphenomenon" that feeds back onto itself.)
It is not necessary to acknowledge or even to know that you are behaving as part of some esoteric motivation, for it to be either a true or at least useful model. For example, think of "selfish gene" type explanation of reproductive / behavioral biology. That is a useful model for thinking about behavior even if the parties themselves talk about courtly love, religious morality, etc.
Particularly in the case of a highly developed financial economy, there are lots of decisions that have effects, which effects tend to reinforce making those decisions, without anyone explicitly talking about those effects.
For example, the political decision to create and maintain the tax-deferral advantages of e.g. 401k accounts, is bipartisan and widely touted as helping to advance the cause of retirement security and broad prosperity. However, in a very real way, it's also about shunting vast quantities of "dumb money" into a relatively high-fee intermediary industry of 401k administration, mutual fund management, and etc. In turn, those intermediaries employ vast numbers of well paid personnel, as well as enjoy concentrated financial returns to their ownership -- and the owners and workers of the intermediaries lend massive poltiical support to perpetuating and extending those types of program (see e.g. the successive creation of more and more favored account types: Roth IRAs, 529s, Coverdell ESAs, HSAs, FSAs, etc. etc.). This means that Congress is compelling the nation at large to turn over a higher % of GDP to financial intermediaries.
It would be disingenuous to claim to disbelieve this unless a Senator stood up and said his goal is to "turn over a higher % of GDP to financial intermediaries." That is certainly not his exoteric goal and probably not even something that he thinks about. But it is a very real consequence, and the feedback loop from the beneficiaries (lobbying, jobs, contributions) most certainly influences him and makes it "about" that.
Why do you think they would say what their true goals are to you? People in positions of power are extremely judicious and strategic about what they say and to whom. They get daily exercise in this and only the best survive. The most effective are excellent at pursuing their goals while maintaining a socially credible exterior. The less effective use coded language (corpspeak or political rhetoric) to try to hedge through via indirection.
My solution - nationalise the mortgage lenders and cap the mortgage to a 3 * multiplier of annual earnings.
An alternative would be for wages to not lag production, and for the ultra-rich to make less money.
I agree I'd like to see far less inequality BTW.
Would be interested to hear your thoughts on the Positive Money campaign, I believe you'll be interested in it.
Their description of the problems with debt is particularly confusing because it's not clear how they intend to avoid any of those things. There seems to be a lot of concern about numbers shown in bank accounts and no concern for what happens to production of and access to goods and services, which is what's really important. The comments there are more interesting than the main article: http://positivemoney.org/issues/debt/
Redistribution through tax can be seen as "baling the water back out of the boat" in this context: it pulls money away from the rich, but doesn't prevent it continuing to rush back to them. It's a thankless never-ending job and politically motivated interruptions in "baling" will immediately result in inequality growing again.
I'm with the Zeitgeist Movement on this: money as a Thing needs to go away. It's intrinsically harmful.
You run the scutwork of the economy with automation, robots, etc, which provides a basic living for nothing, and let people pursue their vocations.
The process for handling large allocations of resources is left as an exercise, but I'd favour direct democracy via recursive vote delegation ("liquid democracy"), at the most local possible scope (following the principle of subsidiarity).
Unless you fundamentally alter the way trust funds shelter wealth and income across generations, then all raising the inheritance tax does is widen the gap between the 1% (who you will tax) and the .1% (who will remain out of reach and become relatively more entrenched).
Second is the fact that we live in a global economy now and taxes that are not applied globally will encourage human and capital flight. If, for example, you gutted trust funds or raised inheritance taxes to 75% in the US, you would likely find many wealthy families relocating (and expatriating if necessary) to more favorable jurisdictions. For a few generations now the US enjoyed unrivaled status as the best/safest/most desirable place in the world to live (for most people), but this is already lessening as the world becomes smaller and more connected. It's already much easier for me to imagine raising my kids in London or Singapore (especially if I'm worth tens of millions) than it was for my parents.
Personally I would be in favor of a globally applied inheritance tax set at a high level but the devil is in the details and I don't think we'll get there in our lifetimes.
19 billion tells me nothing.
It seems reasonable to assume that some portion of it will accumulate among the wealthiest class and be inherited. Probably much more than ~0.1%.
Figure your year's revenue. Find out how many times the poverty level that is, for your family size. (Twice the poverty level, 10x the poverty level, etc.) Take the log base 10. Multiply that by some constant that is the same for every tax payer in the nation (both people and businesses). Currently, that "flat" constant would be about 9. The resultant number is your tax rate.
(Hint: this would be a massive tax cut for pretty much everyone short of billionaires.)
If people can't even keep their own money earned for themselves, you are just killing the incentive to even earn it at the first place. You seem to suggesting we must periodically make the rich, poor. This kind of equality is more dangerous than inequality. Look up the failure of socialist/communist set ups in past century that will tell you why this is such a bad idea.
The whole scheme over time feels like punishing people for working hard and generating wealth, while remainder free loads on the assumption they are entitled to free money.
What follow next is exodus of smart, hard working people to better countries.
I think that when people say "It's impossible for the powerless to become powerful", they really mean "It's very unlikely for me to become powerful", which is statistically true. Powerful people are rare - that's what it means to be powerful - and so no matter how much mobility there is at the top, the odds of any one person making it there are quite slim.
Then there's the controversial question of whether a monarchy's efficacy may in fact be greater than that of a republic, a topic that authors such as Erik von Kuehnelt-Leddihn and Hans-Hermann Hoppe have explored.
It was an enormous risk for Thomas Jefferson, Ben Franklin & company, but the upside was huge. The average worker not so much. Non-landowners weren't even allowed to vote!
"Capitalism" emphasizes (take this as a principle, or principal -- regardless of truth) the primacy of capital in production -- and, by extension, ownership. Labor, et al. are not capital. Land, factories, machinery: Those are capital.
What happens when capitalism becomes unmitigated and ownership concentrated? Only those who have the capital, can produce. And the more capital they control, the more production they control -- the more power they have.
And for some, that power, and being at the pinnacle of the hierarchy, are more important than the absolute progress of the community.
(Understand, too, that this is not simply some cartoon-esque "power for power's sake" quest. It leads, overall, to better life, greater health, and better outcomes for one's offspring and friends.)
There are many people with much potential and many good ideas, who are not allowed the resources with which to pursue them.
This is where that community needs to curtail unbridled capitalism.
(The "rising tide that lifts all boats" may lead to a better collective outcome. To greater absolute progress. But also, perhaps, to less control, advantage, and security at the top.)
And this is why you never want all of your resources, production, and knowledge to reside under the control of a single authority, nor anything overly approaching such.
We aren't all equivalent (i.e. the same, as opposed to some qualitative assessment of "equal"). And we do enhance our abilities by forming organized structures. But no absolute hierarchy has demonstrated the ability to maximize potential -- neither in us nor in biology.
Piketty's book describes this phenomenon as well - his book is fundamentally about the world moving from a situation of having a $1M factory producing $100k in income to a situation of a $2M factory producing $150k in income. (I.e., r=2, g=1.5.)
And so it goes with Marx, the first volume certainly is hugely prescient and correctly predicts much of the economic progress that has come since. Workers as stakeholders in a business is considered fairly mainstream in many modern economies as is the role of the state.
But as with Freud it was the later stuff particularly in Volume 2 that got him his reputation as a looney. Sadly he formulated the manifesto as a precursor to writing the book and this bound him to a particular conclusion even if his research in the meantime didn't match up. Volume 2 was never finished and what was eventually published was the unfinished manuscript as well as some notes, post humous.
It is unfortunate that Marx couldn't have just left it at Volume 1, and put aside the fanatical fervour of his younger years. Had he done so it could have formed the basis of a more humane society and he would not have been associated with some of the more attrocious implementations of communism, and a reputation which he doesn't wholly deserve.
Specifically land leads to Ricardian rents, and historical examples of taxing land rents abound. Japan went from medeviel backwater to industrial giant in ... decades through the use of land taxation.
At some point, they decided the classical Japanese values were more important and that is when the industrialists took over as an update to the Samurai and the rest is history. I don't blame them - classical/medieval Japanese culture is extraordinarily beautiful. But the Bushido Code does not mix with machine guns.
Generally, capitalism if practiced by ... Vulcans or robots would not result in most of what we attribute to it as ills. But humans love to cheat, and the cost of prosecuting all that cheating is probably too high.
We also seem unable to develop a media culture that does not fawn all over the rich and powerful.
Actual Capitalist ethics emphasize consumer surplus most of all. Whether the externalities are what we think they are is a much richer discussion. Quite difficult. It is important to realistically believe you are serving your fellow man in this way.
I know HN is US-centric and all its criticisms centered on the US, but its asinine to use the US as an example of "feudalism" when we're seeing much, much worse elswhere. With a 5.5% unemployment rate and median household income of $55k, there's a lot of opportunity.
France, and other Euro states, has twice the unemployment rate and almost half the household income. Yet it always gets a free pass in these discussions.
In Russia 111 people control 19 percent of all wealth. This is a country with a $1.5T GDP and 145m people! One fifth of it controlled by a mere 111 men? Yes somehow Russia also gets a free pass during these discussions. Hell, in Brazil the bottom 10% of the population lives on about $1 a day and the top 10% owns almost half of the wealth!
Yeah, a lot of countries have fallen into near feudalism, but the US isn't one of them. At least its not the best example for breathless exposes of wealth inequility.
Your parent's educational and economic background is a huge factor in your personal success. We should strive to make it so that intelligent people with interest can succeed (educationally and personally), and strive to make it so that people see this is an opportunity not preserved for the rich. We should not (as someone suggested) make it society work such that wealth is randomly moved between people, as then there would be no benefit to learning and trying to better the world; somehow this has to be balanced with a good and decent life for everyone, people shouldn't just die if they don't happen to have health care (or their parents are poor).
We didn't go to good schools, but they were good enough and student loans go us into decent state colleges (and later private school via the same loan system). So yeah, your hypothetical hopeless sob story kinda pisses on the many people who rose above economic hardships. Many immigrants rise ahead in the US due to all the opportunity here. Ironically, the minorities we coddle with welfare, political correctness, and never-ending social programs that do next to nothing but drain tax dollars tend to be the ones who don't thrive and degenerate into multi-generation poverty. Maybe the white liberal mid/upper class political thought should focus on jobs and incentives and not-hand wringing about how hopeless everything is.
>wealth is randomly moved between people,
Everyone I know has a job/wealth via some level of meritocracy. I don't know anyone who randomly ran into money. If money was this easy to get then we wouldn't be having this conversation.
The anti-US bias on sites like Reddit and HN is just ignorant. I don't think people appreciate what they have and the praise of places like Russia or China as being better or more free or more economically viable is hilariously ignorant. Or the masive ignorance of how bad Europe's finances and employment situation is in many of its countries, especially places like Italy, Spain, France, and of course Greece. Life is a lot more complex than "omg the US is the worst country ever." Seriously, if you guys want a conversation about oligarchies and inequality then Russia or Brazil are probably the best examples around. The US is very far from those levels of inequality. Pointing this out, sadly, gets you mega downvotes here. I'm curious why this forum needs to have this hysterical and furious anti-US bias all the time? Why are you being socially rewarded by this narrative? Have you ever questioned this narrative the types of people who are constantly selling it to you? Or their motivations?
Upper class: 95% probability of child going to college Middle class: 65% probability of child going to college Lower Class: 30% probability of child going to college
This is just one example but I believe the same concept can be used for myriad situations. This is going to create a huge cycle of inequality that will widen as the economy grows and those with money can exert power and influence to maintain their power and influence, create a feedback cycle.
From reading other comments it sounds like the new "Capital" book is some interesting reading on this subject.
On the bright side, I grew up just before the internet got big and kids today seem much sharper, so I hold out hope for the next generation.
So I suppose your conclusion is we're doing it right? Well alrighty then.
Judgement on inequality has to be relative to the here and now.
I've usually tried to compare myself vs. who I was 10 years ago, not to the people around me, and I suspect I've ended up significantly happier (and quite possibly wealthier) because of it.
As a counter example, it's incredible to compare the abject poverty of, e.g. Asian immigrants to the US with the relative wealth of their first-generation American children. That's happening alongside rising inequality, but it's definitely not "the rich getting richer."
Let's call it "super-critical" and "sub-critical". Super-critical is always-positive wealth growth rates, no matter quantity of wealth. This will then always occur (or, according to theory, should always occur).
If it's always sub-critical, then you don't have wealth growth, because it never makes sense. I think maybe.
So what you want is a transition point at which in order to "grow personal wealth" what you actually have to do is grow /other/ people's wealth (who are below that point)... but then it becomes growing power (social connections and allegiances) rather than monetary power (wealth).
And because monetary wealth is actually possible to quantify and thus measure, account for, examine, track, etc - it's arguably better, as we call use of that power "corruption".
In which case the only known solution is the periodic upheaval.
Yes, but not to an absolute degree. Go back and look at a list of the "Fortune 500" (or something equivalent) from, say, 1900. I believe you'll find that most of those companies no longer even exist at all. Likewise if you enumerate a list of the richest people in the world from that era, their grand-children (or great grand children, whatever) aren't necessarily in corresponding positions in the modern "richest people in the world" list.
One thing that the discussions often seem to neglect to consider, is the impact of disruptive (sorry, it's the only word that made sense here) technological change. New technologies come along and create a sort of "upheaval" (something like Schumpeterian "creative destruction") that "resets" things periodically.
There are also "dis-economies" of scale where size works against a firm's ability to grow larger and more profitable.
Families are interesting because you have the generational laziness issue - All you need is one person in the chain to lose the wealth, and it's gone.
Disruptive technologies, social changes, and legal changes could be considered forms of "periodic, non-violent revolution".
Dis-economies would then be built-in inflection points where you don't need an out-of-context solution (aka, laws) to create a sub-critical point for wealth growth. Interesting, didn't know that happened. Can you point me at some examples?
Re: Disruptive - It may have become startup corporate jargon, but it still makes sense. Look up something called the OODA loop, and note that according to it, a "good maneuver" doesn't have to be one that's successful or further your goals, it can just be one that changes the playing field faster than your opponents can react.
But, wasn't that part of the point of the US system - getting closer to a periodic / on-going non-violent revolution?
For example I would love to be a poor person in today's American which rich are richer than a poor person 30 years ago. The fact that rich people get rich basically suggest accelerated pace of development that brings down cost of living for everyone including the poor. Even though the average income of a poor family in United states might not have grown substantially in last 30 years, what they can afford for that money has changed a lot.
Money <=> Power is not true unless government interferes too much in Economy. In USA however that is happening in the name of helping poor.
power => more power
Phrased in this way, it's unsurprising that most societies have this property.
As someone who has deleted Facebook and moved to our own small homestead, this is totally untrue. On the contrary, I live in a much more vibrant community now, as I barter with the neighbors, trading our eggs, dairy, and honey, for whatever they have/do. I know almost every single person who lives near me. We hire their kids to help in the summers. A few women hang out at our place every Tuesday and knit. We have friends come crash with us for weeks or months at a time, exchanging room and board for helping around the homestead. And I work from home, ironically making more money than I did when working in an office. (Although I actually save less because I keep building chicken coops and solar arrays, etc.).
In any case, I feel far more connected to my local community now than I ever did before we started this lifestyle.
You're living the life in a lot of ways, but most people are too risk-averse to even consider it.
* There are only 250 Duane Reade's total (according to Wikipedia), there can't possibly be 400 in Manhattan.
* Duane Reade as a chain is intricately associated with the city of New York, at least from the point of view of a San Franciscan. It is the local culture.
* What's wrong with not having to walk a mile to go to a drug store? Having more locations helps build smaller neighborhoods.
Nobody grows up wanting to own and operate their own drug store anymore. So chains do it instead.
And I don't see how this is different than 50 people opening their own boutiques and destroying neighborhoods through gentrification. But I'm guessing the author would have a different opinion on that.
also: this is the CEO of kickstarter? Isn't it slightly self-serving for him to say "people should be trying their own crazy things that they could never get money for before kickstarter"?
Right there in the article.
There's nothing special in a pharmacy. It's a cookie-cutter business.
Build something truly new and innovative, don't try to compete for profit shavings and established markets unless you have 5 aces up your sleeve (like, drone delivery of prescription or something)
Ditto cancer. Ditto orthopedics. Ditto MS and musculoskeletal problems. Ditto pediatrics. Communities exist around all of these things because people need a place to find that information and get their questions answered. Why couldn't that place be the exact type of business that exists to address people's health needs?
It could be a business built around serving the needs of a minority (yet significant) population exceptionally well, instead of being a bland cookie-cutter store that serves everyone pretty much okay, unless something goes wrong and the 22 year old pharmacy tech who has never even had a conversation with someone with your particular health concern remarkably doesn't know how to help you.
But you have 'regular' grocery stores in NY and also the small ethnic product ones.
As a different narrative, I don't see drug-store chains as a sign of communities dying, I see it as a sign of communities getting bigger. In a big city, there are lots of different chains, and in the small city that might have one drug store, they have a chain drug store and the community can focus on other things. Having a "local drug store" doesn't make a community. And having people raise millions of dollars for new episodes of a TV show from the 90s (MST3K) doesn't do anything for local communities.
The only point you offer that relates to your actual argument is the author of the article is the CEO of kickstarter, so his promotion of less monolithic industries is ultimately self serving given that he profits off them - which is an interesting one but I'd contest that with the history and focus of kickstarter and their lack of employing any monopoly strategy.
By limiting entries to simple projects, not allowing anything purely political / fundraising driven, Kickstarter allowed for a vast sea of other crowdfunding sites to exist without ever threatening to take them or their market share over, despite Kickstarter being the site that popularized the crowfunding concept. The opposite of say, Uber's domination strategy, or a lot of other companies for that matter.
So... if I trust any company to express themselves without being self serving, it would be Kickstarter, for the reason that they had an opportunity to be the only major crowdfunding site, and chose not to based on what the founders wanted the company to be about.
Take Chicago for example. When I moved to Chicago five years ago, Wicker Park was the "hipster" neighborhood, where many of the exciting cultural events (at least for people in my age group, young 20 somethings) were happening. By the next year, Wicker Park had become too trendy and gentrified, and all the hipsters moved further west to Logan Square. Today Logan Square is too upscale, and the hipsters have moved south into Pilsen, forcing many of the local hispanic families out of the neighborhood because of rising prices. Now there are organic juice bars sprouting up in Pilsen and the gentrification process is starting anew.
This is almost exactly the pattern described in the article, except it's the people who want authentic communities that are causing the problem! It's a catch-22: if you don't like your community you can try to go elsewhere, but a few years after you do you will hate your vapid community again. In this case it's the drive for culture that causes monoculture. Once something is seen as authentic people flock to it and it becomes trite. How can you deal with that?
It's the drive for a culture that can be commodified and packaged up that causes monoculture.
I was passing through times square the other week. One of the 10-story tall LED billboards had a girl in underwear with the tagline "No retouching on this girl! The real you is sexy." We seem to be disillusioned, and that makes authenticity in advertising hot. So find the hottest authentic girl, package her up, and mass-produce her authenticity.
The way out is to build your cultural values around that which cannot be commodified. Value authentic authenticity, and value the things that can't be measured in dollars and economic efficiency. We've known what that is: self-expression, creativity, friendship, family, and love.
What we struggle with is recognizing fake authenticity. For some reason we value hallmark love more than a handwritten note because the hallmark typeset is more refined or it has a more clever tagline or the art on the cover will supposedly evoke a deeper emotion than any stick figure I'm capable of drawing.
We've been conditioned to think the best expression of our love is something that can be bought in the card isle, and we've forgotten that our love is actually ours to give freely.
The only way out of the catch-22 is to decondition your way out of the value and belief system that perpetuates the catch-22. What's the old adage? Do not try and bend the spoon. That's impossible. Instead, only try to realize the truth: there is no spoon.
I live in Tokyo and I have to say - while there is still the business district that noone can afford and the gentrification process is somewhat visible in some places (however IMO slower than elsewhere), it's really not too hard to live in a place with lots of small business, shops, nice restaurants and locals to talk to. We pay <1000$ rent and have a three small supermarkets, ~15 good restaurants, 2 train stations, a recreational park with big pond and all kinds of small shops do get whatever supply you need, all within 10min walking distance. And this place is far from exceptional in Tokyo, this city is basically a huge spread of small towns grown together and connected with a train system on steroids. And I think zoning laws is probably one of the most important influences on why this happens - basically you can build an expensive house, a cheap apartment building, a restaurant, a medium sized supermarket, an estate agency and a fish tank supply shop all in the same block here - and that's also what actually happens. I've never seen this sort of chaotic mix in Europe or the US, but I think this is exactly what you need for a thriving community that stays this way.
It causes weird effects. In my area -- and in a number of other more rural communities I've visited over the last year -- there are still tons and tons of empty commercial spaces, staying empty for months (or years), all with "For Lease" signs in the window ... and all of them with absurdly inflated asking rates. For those whose god is "the market", there's a failure happening here that's directly affecting the ability of smaller businesses to start up or grow.
The result was someone like Cortez could conquer Mexico, gathering all the gold there was to be had, even enslaving thousands to work in mines, murdering thousands more by working them to death, and still be completely broke. Cortez was capitalized at a rate point where he could never break even.
:)
[0] http://noahpinionblog.blogspot.com.au/2014/11/book-review-de...
People who will take that advice to heart will just end up not being the extremely rich people, and other people will end up there instead.
It's good to increase the number of CEOs and powerful people who remain committed to values that benefit everyone. Still, without systemic change, the extremely rich and sociopathic will continue doing what they do, and extremely powerful corporations and banks will stay extremely powerful.
Sometimes none at all, subject to local moral conditions.
There was an article about this in the Wall Street Journal last year[1]. Excerpt:
> But why open a branch on every corner? The blame, it turns out, lies with us. We're asking for it.
> TD, which has more than 1,300 branches in cities up and down the East Coast, conducted a customer survey and discovered that, compared to the rest of the nation, New Yorkers are obsessed with branch convenience. While folks in other towns value frivolities like friendly service, New Yorkers more often rank convenient ATMs and branches a top priority. They want locations near their homes, their offices and the offices of their spouses, says Mr. Giamo. They want to see their bank everywhere they go.
When it comes to the subject of community, a lot of people don't want to accept that communities are dynamic. The ways in which they change are almost always driven by the needs and wants of the people in those communities, even though you will always find vocal people in those communities who swear that can't be the case.
[1] http://www.wsj.com/articles/all-those-banks-in-new-york-city...
[0] http://www.finextra.com/news/fullstory.aspx?newsitemid=28007
[1] http://www.bbc.co.uk/newsbeat/article/29801667/see-the-pubs-...
You would have expected the same to play out in the USA.
But the entire bank attached to the ATM has almost no value. I think I've talked to a real live person in a bank like twice in the last three years.
There are more banks then ever, because it's more profitable to be a bank than ever before. We have had almost an entire decade of 0% interests rates allowing banks to make incredible sums of money.
This is a market reaction to inflation, with very little to do with culture.
What would an alternate culture look like? Maybe one where companies use their profits to enrich their existing employees lives, rather than use it to expand at a rate that keeps employee quality of life at the bare minimum, and executives at a maximum. Also maybe a culture where money is reinvested in the community, so the people and place you live in is enriched, rather than use that money to spread out like a virus and stamp your chain store in the middle of communities around the world (so that you can make more chains).
Not substantively different from straight-up classic inflation via over-printing of currency, other than more accounting tricks to replace physical media with digital ledger entries tracking valueless debt.
"In every voluntary exchange we give up something we value less than what we receive... and so does the person we are trading with. Trade benefits both parties and this benefit is an increase in wealth for both."
http://www.fte.org/teacher-resources/lesson-plans/rslessons/...
But merely "more trade" as in a bigger amount of money changing hands does not let one conclude anything.
This was not mentioned in the article. The need to make more money is a symptom not the cause.
Gentrification arguments aside, I'm confused because they don't seem to have customers (and again there are multiple) and certainly that will only be more true as younger people have less and less connection to the physical bank branch.
It almost sounds as if there is some rule that allows a bank to open a retail branch, declare that branch an asset and simultaneously expand its loaning capacity, then use that loaning capacity elsewhere (like its trading arm). This is a variation on the old 80-90's Japanese corporations using real-estate-as-asset-securing-loans bookkeeping: at some point someone notice that they could pledge real estate the company owned as collateral to secure loans that could be leveraged into more real estate for more loans, and then churn the real estate holdings in a up-trend market and rinse-repeat for even bigger loan packages.
Even in a post-Gramm–Leach–Bliley world that repealed Glass–Steagall, it stretches my credulity to believe that even lax bank regulation would allow branch openings at a completely speculative stage (with no proven loan activity yet) to partly drive bank loanable reserve levels. I'm more inclined to believe that these branches don't see a lot of foot traffic in the Net era, but that they justify their cost by sporadically serving customers in a local market who already hold loan products serviced by the bank, and need an occasional in-person visit to the bank.
The system has taken on a life of its own, and it's pursuing interests that are divergent from ours.
The bank branches should start selling coffee, food, or knick knacks on the side to keep them busy. I can see it now: Citicorp Coffee, Chase Bagels, 5th 3rd Home Furnishings.
_For Profit_ doesn't cut it and is buggy. The side-effects are the waste due to consumerism, unsustainability and potential application crash (climate & earth).
The variables in the model needs to be tweaked so a new system evolves.
[1]: https://infinite.ai
http://www.globalissues.org/article/26/poverty-facts-and-sta...
50% of the world's population live off the equivalent of $2.50 a day. I guess we can cheer that 30% of the world's inhabitants have doubled their income and call it a day.
Yes, we can very much cheer for people living off $1.25 to be living off $2.50 now. The numbers might look stupid if you're living in luxury, but it quite literally means going to bed with a full stomach instead of going to bed hungry. It's a far bigger change for them and their lives than for your income to be increased by 10x (assuming $100k to $1m).
If you're all about increasing the well-being of the most people possible on the planet, then it is something to cheer for. Having that increase to $5 might be the biggest humanitarian change for the future that we could cheer for too.
Are we doing the best we can for the billions, definitely not. Are we doing the least we could, arguably not.
Capitalism's been 'hacked' and that's why you have consumerism and unsustainability.
The free-market is the most effective way to distribute resources in an environment, that's it. All problems come from central planning.
What happens when a child would rather work for food now than go to school and improve future income potential? Government ensuring that children have food and can't work so that they will focus on increasing future earning potential results in a better society than one where there is no government intervention, and thus some number of children have to work now instead of focusing on future earning potential, meaning that throughout their lifetime they will contribute less to society than they could have.
This is one example where pure capitalism is not the most effective.
Until the resource is clean air that you can pollute for free without a central planner to limit such pollution.
Soviet rivers were some of the most polluted in the world.
A free-market has much stricter limits on pollution than any crony government agency.
I agree whole-heartedly that the free market is an awesome, powerful, often-counterintuitively-effective thing.
But isn't there something to be said for some forms of central planning? Theory of the firm, multicellular organisms sending themselves to the moon, the empirical adaptive fitness of lumbering nation-states over freemen upon the land, etc.
I'm pretty far right, but I see a lot of problems with the free market.
None of this is to imply that capitalism has not been hacked. It is to imply that it is sometimes hard to distinguish the hacking from guardrails.
I come from a formerly socialist economy(India). Central planning is a scheme to create bullshit jobs which don't have to exist at the first place. This distract funds and human resources from other competing higher priority work.
Every thing is state planned starting from detergent to air planes. All services are mediocre and everything is in a state of stagnation and slow decay.
It's pretty well established that capitalism works best with a regulatory state that can correct market failures and enforce private property laws.
http://www.mrmoneymustache.com/2015/08/19/urban-tribe/
Note that I'm not an expert in the field nor do I consider myself part of a community. I'm just giving an example where you've asked. I'm sure there are many more examples out there.
I think the answer is to really understand how money functions in our society and the parts that work and the parts that don't and come up with an evolution of the concept that incorporates technology into society and works better.
For example: bitcoin, Ethereum, some kind of holistic schema for tracking resources which would make us less dependent upon money and make it easier to plan. Maybe have a few categories of money for different things.
If we can insert better technology (than basic money) to mediate society, maybe we can create an opt-in society that is more fair, efficient, and still evolves freely.
But don't just say "money sucks" and throw it out, and unthinkingly resort to technocommunism.
Its kind of like when people will give up their Christian faith and then decide they should become hedonists. We need to think through things more and really synthesize ideas. Integrating technology into society can make things like universal point systems (money) more practical and more fair.
It's not. Every culture and economic system that has ever been put into practice in all of human history has produced the exact same wealth accumulation dynamic.
The main difference is that in the systems other than free-market capitalism, significant wealth accumulation is not merely "difficult" for ordinary people, but actually "impossible" if you're not a member of the tiny ruling circle.
At least under free market capitalism, as an ordinary person you do have a shot, however unlikely it may be.
I also want to point out that it's a bit irritating to be told to not strive harder by someone who's already got "FU" money.
Here's Ian MacKaye talking about his philosophy w/ a reporter: https://youtu.be/7zc2-T6LbOo?t=25m
http://noisey.vice.com/blog/own-the-house-where-minor-threat...
Seems like Dischord house is still owned by MacKaye.
If you consider a profit-maximizing corporation a paper-clip maximizing AI, it's a hostile AI that's bad for people.
Then you take a look at Public Benefit Corporation, and what you could say goes on, is that instead of using "profit" as a measurement of success, it's a binary answer to sustainability. If a public benefit operation is profitable, it can continue - but it doesn't matter how profitable it is, because that's not the success criteria.
Another interesting place to think about this is "profit as A/B testing metric". Are user signups really what you want, or do you simply require user signups to sustain, but what you want are, say, user-submitted content?
All this talk of altruism, Zuckerberg and Gates too, is trivial when you have it all.
The true measure is when you, like most people, behave when you have nothing to lose and nobody is watching.
Yup, love that he included this tidbit. A little dramatic, but practical. They figured out the formula, so they're a sound investment. Even Adele has a track with Max Martin on her new album.
If there's a really cogent indicator of 'wealth disparity' there's nothing quite like looking into the "Top 1%" of music acts versus the rest. Not that music has, you know, traditionally been a great way to make a living, but the numbers are really exploitative in a lot of ways. It's quite indicative of the money first mentality I think, for music (and venues) to be consolidated (or allowed to do so) in such a racketeering fashion.
Number 1: Don’t sell out...Do something because you believe it’s wonderful and beneficial, not to get rich.
Oh, wow. I needed this. Mostly because it's such a futile thing to try and be independent as a musician and make a living...or really any money...but it's a personal decision, one based on principles. Glad he at least mentioned this concept for consideration.
A minority of customers chooses local/eclectic/independent: not sure whether this minority is growing or shrinking.
I've been to many countries. If you go to China, Vietnam, Colombia, Eastern Europe, you can find plenty of places without mainstream chains and lots of local shops.
You know what? Most of them suck.
Bad selections, overpriced, trying to cheat you on change, rat droppings or layers of dust on top of a variety of food products...
... I know if I go to Duane Reade or Chipotle, the food or medicine I buy will be legit, unexpired, and without any egregious violation.
If I buy a pair of jeans at Walmart or Target and they rip in the first week I own them, I can take them back.
Chain banks mostly suck, and credit unions or online banks are far better. But for food, clothing, and medicine, chains are a godsend. You don't get cheated, everything is decent quality, and clean. If you buy something and it's broken, you can take it back. Not so in most of the world.
(And also, many of the small shops locally owned aren't owned by local people just getting by -- they're owned by local bosses, who are just as callous as the archetypical big corporation, but much less effective at delivering to customers and much less accountable.)
Liked the rest of the article, and do admire companies that operate differently like REI. But lionizing small disorganized ineffective dirty shops is a miss; Chipotle and Duane Reade are godsends compared to what you'd get otherwise. If you don't believe it, check out any developing country before chain stores move in. It's not a better state of affairs.
There's a fundamental unsolved (or, poorly solved, or, we don't like the solution enough) civilizational problem: I have a new society. Where do I put it?
And a longer comment:
I read at thing that suggested that companies with "noble purpose" make hand over fist more money than companies with a sole profit motive.
One way to take this is that, by operating under different goals, you become unpredictable to the established power, and the "OODA loop" concept teaches us that's a solid way to win. Arguably, against a better positioned opponent who can absorb you, playing by different rules is the only way to win.
Another way to take this is to pull the idea that "money" is only a measurement of "debt", and is thus inherently unsustainable because it measures a non-finite thing in a world of finite things. And so if you make decisions by maximizing an unsustainable sense of depletion, it stands to reason you'll end up making a depleted place.
---
Of course, you can also read all this as "convincing you not to play our game, so we don't have to compete with you"... akin to "stability is good because I'm on top!"... but that just goes back to "need to play by different rules if I'm to win".
* The classical Greek had their notions of temperance
* Romans had the notion that a proper aristocrat needs to own an agricultural estate, idea of civil virtues (these cost a lot of money) and that one has to spend the money on a huge estate with a court of slaves (familia urbana)
* China had their Imperial bureaucracy
* the European middle ages had corporatism/guilds in the cities
Once these restraints were gone we entered modernity.
(here is an article why China didn't do modernity, despite having had all the big inventions that supposedly brought us capitalism - like the printing press, gun powder, paper money, big advances in materials, a fleet that discovered America. The authors say the structure of institutions was restraining entrepreneurship and progress :
http://www.amphilsoc.org/sites/default/files/proceedings/157...
MC Hammer, 50cent (?), so many multi-millionaire athletes are bankrupt. The fact that the basic institutions we require to exist - banks, convenience stores - stay financially viable is something we take for granted. I'm not sure tne new-kickstarter-economy can exist without the persistence of the old boring economy of scarce resources.
In the meantime, though, just try to be happy (as the article suggests).
That's capitalism, what's the fuss about it? It's not possible to have only the good of capitalism and the good of communism. The bad parts will come in soon or later.
The "don't be evil" approach has already proved to be BS so we must choose what do we really want.
An interesting experiment is East Europe, a capitalist society that uses some good communist laws. E.g. Student used to have a large discount everywhere, allowing everybody to study. Discounts are getting smaller and smaller till the day that they will disapeer. Or people that couldn't be fired after some age. Even if people don't want to loose these policies, it's a matter of time. It's very hard to have the best of both worlds.
1. http://www.amazon.com/Not-Bread-Alone-Konosuke-Matsushita/dp...
Today, it seems, that many people just have one principle that holds above anything else: Money. I think, this way, we ultimately sell out humanity.
And as such, we arrive at the present.
This might be a trivial and stupid example, but when everything is optimized for revenues and profits it really is demoralizing.
Or maybe it's worth risking the business of loyal customers in order to attract more marginal customers. Btw, is this Indian restaurant called "Twitter"?
Homo-economicus is a psychopath. He values profit over people, uses people as resources, measures his own worth in money, harms the environment, has no deeper values, and so on. Insofar as our (capitalist) society rewards homo-economicus instead of shunning this miserable being, we are going to be ruled by a pathocracy.
This is known as a "rational agent" in some circles, lol. Just shows to what extremes people self-justify their actions and ideologies.
I don't think that running a chain of businesses makes you evil. Changing government policy to make it impossible for others to compete is evil though, since it ruins the game.
It's a shame that we have such an impact on the environment. It is a tragedy of the commons. If a person could be made to feel their environmental impact more strongly on a personal financial level maybe things would be better.
Be very careful when you allow a blind mechanism to rule your universe.
It's sort of like when Stanford/Harvard graduates say that we should abolish elite universities and that the degrees are worthless. Easy to say for the guy who already graduated from there. I totally agree, as soon as I graduate from Stanford, I will go around saying how it's not worth much. But until then, I'll try like crazy to get in.
Thoughts?
>Investors make money, franchises notch a new location, and the neighborhood suffers a significant death.
What are these businesses that are so great to the community yet don't make any money? If everyone's taking their business to franchises it's because they (the customers) prefer them and franchises provider a better service.
Seems like the author just longs for independent stores and the like simply because he dislikes corporate culture, and would rather pay more to avoid it.
"When we made the investment, it was decided that we'd keep it quiet for a while." [1]
[1] https://www.usv.com/blog/kickstarter
Also interesting: https://www.crunchbase.com/organization/union-square-venture...
In 2011, they've raised 10 million dollars. They should thank the Fed and abundance of capital.
"At some point in the past ten years, selling out lost its stigma. I come from the Kurt Cobain/“corporate rock still sucks” school where selling out was the worst thing you could ever do. We should return to that. Don’t sell out your values, don’t sell out your community, don’t sell out the long term for the short term. Do something because you believe it’s wonderful and beneficial, not to get rich."
In the past ten years, the tension between "not selling out" and "feeding myself and paying my student loans" has reached a breaking point where increasingly few people can maintain an acceptable standard of living and not take lucrative opportunities. In other words: the opportunity cost of "not selling out" has skyrocketed to unsustainable levels. This is caused by many factors, and will not reverse itself until we have some form of major scale resource redistribution. The realistic summary is that doing wonderful and beneficial things leads to the poorhouse, and "selling out" for most people leads to a middling barely-financially-secure existence that falls far short of getting rich and still doesn't have enough resources to plan for the long term.
"Don’t sink into the morass of “industry standards.” Don’t succumb to the inertia of the status quo. Don’t stop exploring new ideas. A small number of people can change how society works. It’s happened before and it will happen again."
I doubt that many of us want to sink to the median, but the status quo has a way of smashing down people who try to explore new perspectives, and the economics of this fact are especially fierce right now. This is part of the problem, of course: the accumulated capital has an overwhelming interest to maintain the status quo of their wealth, and has many resources to kneecap change. Then (because this is related to Kickstarter, I am obligated to write this) there's the fallacy that inventing a new toy or app will change society-- sometimes it's possible, but on average it doesn't happen. I'd like an app for social change, but even something as simple as an app which lists what companies to boycott on a given day would probably run into legal trouble very quickly.
"Look at the language on that cover: “be paranoid,” “go to war.” Its violence suggests that being ruthless is the only way to survive. We all hear this tone all around us."
Yes, I have noticed the terms of violence / natural selection being pushed in order to make people more vicious toward each other in their pursuit of making a living. Largely, this language-shifting effort has worked, and people view each other as competitors for resources rather than potential allies to increase the wealth of the community. I will state that this kind of anarchistic worldview benefits employers and corporations a tremendous amount, and benefits the public not at all. I suspect this is one of the contributing factors to reduced mental health in the US, and also one of the contributing factors toward people shunning union work. And yes, the prioritization of money above all other considerations is one of the major problems that has almost always existed in America. The people with the most money have lived here through the modern era, and have shaped the USA to funnel money into their coffers. Rather than lament about how we can't kill these people and take their cash, I think it's more productive to think about the policies we can specifically ask for which would prevent radical wealth accumulation in the first place.
Right now I think the best path forward is to come up with a scheme which redistributes capital downward and breaks up the largest clumps of stagnant money. I have no idea how the math on this is going to work out, but the sooner we get the political wheels in motion (Bernie Sanders is a good start, but we need about 300 more of his type before we can make headway) the sooner we can start to undo the damage caused by the crony-capitalism economic policy of the last 40 years. Rather than prioritizing the ability for people to make vast sums of money (and make no mistake, we have prioritized this), we should prioritize raising the standard of living of the median citizen and ensuring equality of opportunity. I guess this means either a negative income tax or UBI.
That's phrased perfectly, and exactly what I came here to say. For the 'marginal careerist', one with just enough opportunity to get ahead, but not enough to float by (e.g., possessing rich relatives) there isn't an easy choice. Staying ahead of a changing job market, increasing barriers to entry (credentialism and other funnel-narrowing HR filters), ageism, and the knowledge that the tattered safety net isn't going to help them very much if they fall out means they won't necessarily have the luxury of saying 'no' to every dubious opportunity presented to them.
It's no longer just about winning the rat race. For many of today's rats, it's now about staying on the ship at all.
The original article is one of those feel-good articles that I want to agree with. It's earnest and idealistic, and brings up several important points. For those who are able to do what Mr. Kickstarter is able to do (to make those socially responsible choices that maximize for self-interest AND social good [i.e, enlightened self-interest] instead of maximizing for selfishness) that's actually all great and beneficial. I like it. Many of his observations, too, are spot on. His recommendation however, that tells people to 'do that' reveals a lack of perspective on the actual lived experience of many people functioning within the modern reality. Collective action problems can't be solved by individuals, nor by socially conscious companies (as nice as those may be.)
The trouble is getting people to talk about this stuff. Sure, if you follow the media, there's drips and bits of chatter about how incomes are stagnant and cost of living is rising, but there's not really enough data on decisions that people made as a result of decreasing opportunity. How many people are forgoing college in favor of skills training? How many people are turning down offers to join new art galleries or other conventionally not-super-profitable ventures? I think the danger here is that 20 years from now we have a cultural lost era because we didn't have enough money to fund people to just sit around and be creative. It doesn't sound so bad, but it'd be quite empty.
i feel like the moment selling out became okay culturally coincided w/ file-sharing decimating the music industry and we all unconsciously thought, "well shit musicians have to make a living somehow" and then pop/indie/classic rock was in commercials and everyone was generally cool with it. and i don't have a big issue with it, and absolutely want to live in a world where artists can have sustainable lives through their craft and don't want certain avenues to be off-limits because they seem cheaper than others
but played out to the nth degree it just all becomes overwhelming and dispiriting. anyway, just wanted to say i really appreciated reading these two thoughts. i very much agree
Relatedly, I sometimes wonder about how much of the compromised musical vision (AKA selling out) is actually a myth in terms of pop music itself. The counterfactual is something like: artist X, who is making some kind of music, would have made some other kind of music that they would have preferred to make (because it was more in line with their vision) if they had the economic freedom to do so. Is that really right, or are they 'making' what they would have made anyway? I quote 'making' because of the number of non-music writing pop stars (the aforementioned four guys with all the top 40 hits who are the ones actually writing the songs) is larger than many might imagine. Are those pop stars really just 'celebrities who specialized in music', rather than 'musicians who compromised their visions'? Tool managed to break through the niche->pop barrier in the 1990s despite their decidedly non-mainstream, aurally challenging (and compelling) sound, but does anyone believe there are little Tools just hiding inside of Justin Timberlake, let's say? If someone like that becomes elevator muzak, is that really a 'sellout' when it's designed that way from the outset? This one is hard to disentangle.
Maybe there's another way to frame it. Maybe the problem isn't 'selling out', per se, but that niche audiences, unless you are somehow able to get to the "100 really super duper true fans" or its equivalent, just don't pay the bills very well. We have your Kickstarter and we have Patreon, and we have all that, but does that sustain the number of potential artists - some of whom may create incredible works - in the modern economy? Did it ever? (I'm sure some would-be musicians starved during the actual patron eras, too.)
The Superstar effect (http://www.nytimes.com/2014/02/23/business/winners-take-all-..., http://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2010/09/win...) is real and cross-cuts industries; an economy-wide phenomenon. I think it's going to be difficult for these platforms to serve as a real counterweight to that, as much as I'd really like them to, because they're swamped by much larger forces. We've democratized distribution, and some of the platforms /have/ widened the economic net a bit, and I'm glad about that, but the forces are larger than I think they'll ever be able to handle, at least in the US.
That brings us to the next question: is the story the same in still relatively-low-cost-of-living Berlin (where a Kickstarter/Patreon might actually be able to replace serving coffee, giving the artist the ability to work on art full time), for example? This is especially important for collaborative styles of music. We can tell a starving artist "just live go somewhere cheap", but rural Minnesota is probably not going to have the kind of music scene necessary to engender the collaborative creativity / connections that you're going to get in Berlin (or once upon a time, on the Lower East Side/East Village in New York), and also have a receptive local audience interested in things like live music.
So maybe we add another qualifier: "enough to live in a collaborative, musically vibrant place." Can these platforms ever do that? I don't think by themselves they can really solve that problem. Not all, gloom, though, as I think there might be external solutions worth entertaining:
1) Artist subsidies or tax credits. Hate this one, and lots of other people like do too, as incentives and administration are mess, but worth mentioning since I've seen it proffered before.
2) GBI. Possible superb fix, not going to happen any time soon.
3) Massive development leading to lower rents in desirable areas, so the next wave of those to be pushed out could stay (Ridgewood, Queens is a good example of cheap and artist friendly now, but possibly at risk in 5-10 years.) I wrote a whole post on this (https://medium.com/@opirmusic/fixing-the-nyc-rent-crisis-or-...) Most powerful one, in my opinion.
4) Artist housing: something that has been tried before, and I think is worth considering again. Administration would be the tricky part, but it at least seems possible.
5) Generalized cheap co-housing with shared amenities. I know some companies are working on this, but it remains to be seen if they can make the numbers work in an NYC or an SF. I really like this one, and I hope someone makes it work.
Finally, I'd also add that my original reply was generalized to the job market as a whole; it applies just as much to your C++ hacker who would rather be making interactive art rather than writing device drivers, or to a marketer that is actually good at what they do and would rather being working in politics or something, but takes a job at an ad agency helping to advertise soft drinks to keep their little rat body from going overboard.
To use an example in technology: I understand the appeal of working on complicated distributed setups, using cool algorithms at scale, etc., but how many people really want to work on "thinking about how to make people click ads", and how many are there because that's how you make good money (and by extension, achieve financial safety and independence)?
7000 taxi medallions.
8 Major Film Studio Companies. (‘The Majors’)
15 Large Banks.
3 Major Radio Stations.
3 Major Labels.
2 Major Ticketing companies.
2 Major broadband providers.
2 Major telcos.
~150 MVNOs. (Mobile Virtual Network Operators)
10 Major Movie Theater Chains.
4 Big Accounting Companies. (“The Big 4.”)
10 Major Grocery Companies
7 Major Financial Analytics Companies – Terminal
5 Credit Card Companies(Visa, MC, Mastercard, Amex, Discover)
Thus more companies/people will have a chance at being successful and more people will profit from their success.
This is just generic "appeal to nostalgia", romanticizing a bygone era that probably never existed "as such" in the first place, and desperately scraping for a way to attack modern capitalism.
When chains displace "local businesses" they do so for a reason: they offer a combination of price/service/value/whatever, that the residents of the region favor to an extent that it makes the other businesses no longer viable. If people want "friendly neighborhood druggist who has lived and worked in the same spot for 70 years" they don't appear to be willing to pay for that.
As for "the need for money to make more money"... yes, that's a real phenomenon, no doubt. There's a reason Pareto distributions occur and it probably has to do with "preferential attachment" and path dependence. And to be fair, pretty much nobody wants a world of deep economic inequality. BUT... you have to look at the flip-side... in many ways, it is easier and cheaper today to start a new enterprise and begin the path of "making more money" than it's ever been. It's been cheap to start a web-based SaaS offering for a while, and even though enterprises making physical goods are still expensive, the emergence of things like Kickstarter, Indie-go-go, etc. have made that world more accessible as well.
If you want to argue that it's unfair that Joe Random Guy can't start a new oil refinery or steel mill or a nuclear power plant, then OK... you have a point. But has it ever been the case that just anybody could start something like that? And is it necessary for that to be the case?
A diverse universe of record labels is steadily consolidating down. A shocking percentage of Top 40 hits are written by four Scandinavian men.
And yet the universe of music that I have access to has been constantly expanding, thanks to the Internet, open source software, and advances in technology which make powerful tools for creating and recording music cheaper and cheaper.
Don’t sell out your values, don’t sell out your community, don’t sell out the long term for the short term. Do something because you believe it’s wonderful and beneficial, not to get rich.
Now this we can agree on. This is one reason we haven't tried to raise outside capital at Fogbeam. We want to build the kind of company we want to build, not necessarily the kind of company that VC's want to build.
Always act with integrity. Really be clear about the things that drive you. Remember the lessons your parents and grandparents taught you about how to treat people and make sure your business lives up to that.
Agreed.
Earlier this year we became a Public Benefit Corporation. This means we are legally obligated to consider the impact of our decisions on society, not just our shareholders. It’s very different from the expectation that for profit companies maximize shareholder value above all. It acknowledges and embraces that you are a part of a larger community.
Benefit Corporations are a great idea, and I hope North Carolina adopts a "B Corp" law eventually. We don't have the notion here currently, not as a legal form acknowledged by the State anyway. If any fellow North Carolinians are reading and want to work together on B corp advocacy here, ping me and let's get started.
Enter the state.
There are guys like Sartre and Camous or even Henry V. Miller and his immitators, who have wrote volumes on this timeless theme - how the world is dominated by money-chasing mediocrity and absolute futility of this endless struggling and caused by it suffering. A few very good books has been written about realization of this futility and suffering.
So called social responsibility is also as old as humanity. Big Tibetan sects, which in fact were feudal landlords, used a concept of socially oriented Bodhisattvas, invented by pundits in Nalanda, in order to justify why every village should feed them, so they exist to benefit the whole society, which is just another Utopia, because each member of society is optimizing for very selfish, biological goals of survival and reproduction and protection of progeny.
In the context of a CEO blog post such populism is just the same kind of hypocrisy - socially responsible money making is no different from socially responsible authoritarian regime.
There is no need to protect or nurse a society. Just following of some evolved social laws, which could be found in the basis of every religion, and not intervening or abusing free (self-balancing) markets, which is, by the way, is idea as old as kicking speculators and money lenders out of the church, is enough. Society would take care of itself, as most of rural societies still do.
The 'cure' for society, as it have been found millenia ago, is to behave yourself according to the natural laws, and everything else would follow. No amount of governing or policing will help. Behavior of each actor is what society is.
This, BTW, is exactly what America before corporations and big government used to be - a self-balancing society of free people with Constitution as the definition of its structure.