How many prisons are for profit? How many prisoners are in for profit prisons?
It's possible that despite private prisons being a small minority, with a small minority of the prisoners, they wield a disproportionate influence on the system. That is, in lobbying for whatever policies benefit them, they're willing to accept the result of grossly overburdening the entire system, taking that as collateral damage so that their little corner of it will always be full.
Again, I don't think that's the case. But it could be.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/posteverything/wp/2015/04/28/...