Why Calorie Counts Are All Wrong
scientificamerican.com
scientificamerican.com
If you want to lose weight reliably, track your weight and your caloric intake consistently. If you aren't losing weight, adjust your caloric intake until you are losing weight at a steady ~1-2lb per week.
Losing weight is simple...it's not easy, but it's very simple.
edit: You also should continually track this because as you lose weight, your body uses less energy and your maintenance level goes down meaning you may need to adjust your calories down a bit to compensate.
Carbohydrate and sugar reductions seem like a very reliable way too. There are many anecdotes about successful weight loss on diets that allowed the person to "eat as much as they want" but had to limit their daily intake of carbohydrates.
Using reported calorie information is a physiological method, and appeals to those who prefer quantifying and tracking their everyday life. Carbohydrate reduction is (in this sense) a psychological method, and appeals to those who struggle with cravings and a lack of structure.
1 bowl (2 cups of rice, about 330g, more or less 1 serving in areas where white rice is a staple food) have a 331 kcal [1] Even if one would ate a whole package of Canadian Bacon (6 oz, 139g) it would only be 257 kcal [2].
Carbs are very easy to gorge. A medium sized fast food cup of soda is 180kcal. Same cup for raw orange juice is 223kcal. For comparison 150g of beef is 274kcal and that would be a big serving (IMO).
When people cut carbs from their diets they end up cutting the most densely caloric food: pasta, rice, starch and sugar and that's a good thing too, even eating as much of the rest as they want they will hardly be able to overconsume calories.
[1] http://ndb.nal.usda.gov/ndb/foods/show/6497?man=&lfacet=&cou...
[2] http://ndb.nal.usda.gov/ndb/foods/show/2636?fgcd=&manu=&lfac...
Pretty basic math tells you even a very small percent wrong (1-2) would affect weight gain/loss over the course of a year :)
I'm also not sure what you mean by "consistency". You say " If you aren't losing weight, adjust your caloric intake until you are losing weight at a steady ~1-2lb per week."
How can you adjust your caloric intake if you don't know the real numbers? I guess you are assuming you eat literally the same thing every week, and drop stuff on the floor until you have a set of foods you know make you lose weight, and then only eat that for the rest of your life? That seems a bad strategy to keep weight off. Most people would probably be willing to eat less of something (which they sanely could if they knew the real calorie counts), but probably not change their entire diet and keep it steady forever.
Even if you just reduce the number of calories to try to account for all the inaccuracies, you are still in a situation where you actually have no idea what you can or can't eat. IE i you say "well, 1500 calories a day didn't work, i'll try 1000", in practice, some days you will have eaten 1500, some days, 900. Your claim this will just average out magically is patently false (it only averages out over time if the numbers are less than a certain percentage away from right, and that percent is very small).
If you are eating different combinations of things, the likelihood you will ever find which are wrong/right, so you know to eat less/more of it, seems really slim. You still have zero idea what you can eat for real, and you'll still find if you swap what foods you eat, you may start gaining/losing weight. So "consistency" or whatever you want to call it, doesn't make any sense.
Now, i'll grant there may be no other way to accomplish your goal right now, but suggesting this is a good method is wrong. It's a horrible method. This is like trying to optimize a multivariable constraint problem through random guessing.
also, counting calories works. anyone that has actually done it can tell you that.
We have years of experience to show that across a population simple calorie counting does not work.
On the other hand, the problem with calorie counting is that most people only do it for a very short time, because it sucks. It's totally unsustainable for most people because they don't have the time or aren't willing to change their lifestyle to include hours per day spent focusing on nutrition. So they lose some weight over the course of several months, then let their nutrition lapse and gain it all back in a few weeks. So in the long term you're right, across a population calorie counting doesn't work. But only because across a population people are lazy.
You track your calories, you track your weight. If you're not losing weight you reduce your calories until you are. This method compensates for peoples differing metabolism and activity levels.
Losing weight isn't complicated. Eat less, move more. That's it.
Losing weight is extremely difficult. The drive to eat is a fundamental instinct. That instinct isn't calibrated for constant easy availability of food. We inherently want to eat more than is good for us in an environment of abundance. Fighting that requires a great deal of willpower, which is a limited resource.
Successful weight loss comes down to figuring out how to reduce your intake and increase your movement without requiring more willpower than you can actually muster. This is really hard. But losing weight is still simple.
I would suggest people are overweight because the steps to lose weight are unpleasant, or require willpower, rather than being too complicated and mysterious.
I can't find the exact study but here are two on the matter
None of the long term fit people I know count calories. They tend to do a couple things:
1. Have well functioning hunger, which comes from 2. Eating whole foods and 3. Eating high satiety foods
I'm pretty steadily at my lean weight. But when I'm not, I just switch to higher satiety foods and the weight comes off.
This method is both easy and simple, but I rarely see it recommended. Are there people it doesn't work for?
(Of course, the hard part of this method is having a personal dietary culture that includes buying, cooking and eating whole foods.
Note that I'm not including cost, because in areas that aren't good deserts whole foods tend to cost less than processed foods)
Google "starvation mode myth"
See also this military study where men on extreme calorie deficits and high activity levels did not lose lean muscle tissue until hitting extremely low (sub 5%) bodyfat levels.
I would hazard a guess at: most people with weight issues. The problem is not how simple the method is, but how psychologically easy it is to adhere to.
You do need to say "potato chips and candy bars are not things I eat", or have some other mechanism for limiting those without willpower (dessert used to fill this function).
But I hardly need willpower to eat this way, because the body's system handle telling me when to eat.
Also, I get hunger sensations pretty much all the time, no matter how much I eat or how satiating the food is. The worst is that I actually get hunger sensations for quite a while after I eat. I suspect this can be the case for many obese people. For me, I need to use my eyes to regulate my eating rather than my hormones.
The amount of willpower necessary can vary considerably from one person to another, and for people like me just 'eating when hungry until I'm full' is not an option.
But you're definitely right about focusing on better food quality rather than simply eating less. It's far too easy to go overboard eating plates of spaghetti and meatballs than it is grilled-chicken atop salad. After I lost weight and cleaned up my diet, I now perfer the latter to the former. When my diet is consistently clean, it's easier to maintain the cleanliness. There's a lot of inertia when it comes to eating and controlling the velocity is far more valuable than just changing the speed.
Also I agree with your point about consistent cleanliness. I find it very easy to avoid eating something if it's a habit. I find it very hard to "limit" a food except by hunger. And hunger doesn't work well with junk, even when hunger is functioning normally.
It's hard to make money marketing this method. I'm not being cynical it's just fact. If you look at weight loss "solutions" they are based around products that interact well with a supply chain. They are highly processed, loaded with preservatives, and individually packaged. As a result, these solutions tend to be based on methods of calorie restriction that don't provide satiety. Additionally companies are incentivized to create a solution that helps people maintain lost weight _only_ when they are on the company plan.
People might disagree with my reasoning here, but I'm not really seeing how I deserve downvotes.
Lets take a man who needs ~2500kCal per day to maintain his current weight. A nice steady loss of 1lb per week would require this guy to eat at roughly a 500kCal/day deficit (a total deficit of 3500kCal translates to a fat loss of 1 lb). Even underestimating his total caloric intake by 10% (he eats 2200kCal instead of 2000kCal) every single day will still see him losing weight at .6lb per week.
After 4 weeks of this he can see that he's only lost 2.4 lbs and can therefore reduce his intake by another 200kCal/day to achieve the desired 1lb/week loss. Tracking your weight/calories like this makes it fairly trivial to lose weight. It really doesn't matter if all the individual food items have perfectly assessed caloric content...as I say, they're close enough.
Scientifically sound food recommendations [1] accept that different types of calories make you feel more or less full.
If you supplied your entire day's calories in sugar, you'd be insanely hungry.
While short-term weight loss studies from the 90s focus on calorie counts, modern studies take a longer term view and examine how well weight is maintained based on diet.
This is where the type of calorie becomes important for most people in weight regulation. (vitamins etc are another topic)
[1] http://www.hsph.harvard.edu/nutritionsource/healthy-eating-p...
Scientifically sound food recommendations [1] accept that different types of calories make you feel more or less full."
That's a contradiction. The entire idea of "calories in, calories out" is precisely that there is no difference and all calories are exactly the same. If some make you feel less full than others, then you're invoking the existence of the feedback loop that "calories in, calories out" explicitly denies.
If you, as this article does, point out that many things affect whether a calorie can be absorbed, that is, again, another difference between calories.
If modern science is moving on... and it is, at an inexcusably sluggish pace... it's moving on from "calories in, calories out". There's really no way to salvage it... even if you want to go with "calories digested vs. expended" you've still got a complicated feedback loop even there between the pancreas, insulin, blood stream, various bits of the brain, the metabolic consumers of blood sugar (significant differences here too between muscles vs. organs), etc, and even two people who hypothetically start with the exact same blood sugar levels and digestive system state will rapidly diverge as this feedback loop does different things between them. "Calories in, calories out" is only true as a limit on the system of the bodies, it isn't even remotely suitable for use as "the only parameter in a model, which gets set to a constant value". (What other bodily function works so simply? What makes digestion so bizzarely unique that it can be modeled so simply? None and nothing.)
(And a rather pointless limit in some ways, too... nobody is running around claiming that the human digestive system is an over-unity perpetual motion machine, so making such a big deal about thermodynamic limits is rather silly.)
The other part is that food calories are the amount of energy needed to raise the temperature of one kilogram of water by one degree celsius. By that definition, calories in vs calories out seems pretty darn close to reality, and if it's not perfect, it's likely so close you're not going to notice a significant difference.
No, its not.
> The entire idea of "calories in, calories out" is precisely that there is no difference and all calories are exactly the same.
The idea is that they are the same to the extent that net calorie consumption, irrespective of source, determines weight loss. Effects on satiety and other effects which influence the ability of the dieter to adhere that come with different calorie sources are not ruled out by "calories in vs. calories out" approach, which doesn't hold that all calories are equal in there influence on your ability to maintain a diet regime, but only that they are equivalent in their effect on your weight when you consume them.
This is not to say that "calories in vs. calories out" is right or useful, just that this particular effect isn't inconsistent with it (though it is one of the less important reasons its of limited utility.)
If, of course, the body is a dynamic process that reacts to what it encounters in the world, then of course the dynamic reaction is what dominates the situation, not percentages of error in calorie counting.
(The way the nutritionists managed to turn "The body reacts dynamically to incoming input" into unthinkable heresy in favor of a model in which the body is essentially modeled as a hapless passive recipient of "calories" with no feedback loop will someday be seen right up there with pholostigon theory, except less excusable. Any time you speak of a bodily process and aren't thinking about the feedback loops, you've bounded your best-case outcome to "utter failure" before taking the first step.)
All by cutting out grains and sugar and replacing them with lots and lots of vegetables and meat (I'm lying, it was mostly bacon).
This automatically adjusts to any error in the calorie estimation.
Lets say someone eats 2000 kcal a day, but the "real" number is actually 1900 kcal. Lets also assume that in fact his weight maintenance level is 1900 kcal. After a month the person has neither lost nor gained any weight. This person will then incorrectly assume that his true maintenance level is actually 2000 kcal, and reduce his estimated calories to 1900 kcal, thus starting the weight loss process.
Yes, it would be nice to get perfect estimates, but it doesn't matter much in the weight loss or weight gain process. In addition, most people don't have a deficit or surplus of a mere 100 kcal, it can be 500 to 1000 kcal, which makes the error in "true" calories even less important.
At the moment though I am gaining weight. My life is stressful at the moment and one way of dealing with this is eating tons of food. Because of this I gained about 10 kg during the last year.
That's not quite true. Protein has 5 calories per gram, but labels only count 4 because of this fact.
Can you give me more information about this? I've always wondered whether or not calories listed are "net" calories (as in the number of calories you get after you extract calories from the food) or "total" (as in this amount minus the amount it takes to extract these calories). I'm just not sure what to google to read more :)
Plus the yuck factor makes experimentation not much fun.
While it is true that calories don't measure the nutritional energy absorbed in any single meal, that would be a trivial proposition. Calories are a statistic, that is, an estimate of an unknown but posited number, and partial representation of an underlying distribution. Saying that calories are "wrong" in this sense would be merely stating that they are possibly wrong. And they would be wrong, if the underlying processes are somehow consistently correlated with each other, which would produce inconsistent and biased estimates of caloric content.
Yet, I don't have any reason to believe that the probability that I buy some potato cultivar today is correlated with the composition of my gut flora three weeks in the future, much less that it would be consistently so. On the contrary, the factors supposedly affecting my nutrition according to biologists are so many, and so diverse, that I might as well appeal to the central limit theorem, in which case calories would be just as a good measure as we can have. If today some potato gives me 166 kcal, and tomorrow 158, and further on 163... I don't see what's the issue. The likelihood of a critical event, such as starvation, due to misreporting of calories or due to some feature of my constitution seems so low that I would only very likely trigger it if I ate nothing but one type of food, in the same quantities, for a long period of time.
Furthermore I will never understand those who prefer no measures to at least one rough measure. No things are created perfect, but only made better. I wonder would have happened it occurred to Eratosthenes that his measure would have been too rough, too imprecise, or too vague for his mind. If all ancient mathematicians were bothered that no "real" triangles were to be found anywhere, mathematics wouldn't have happened at all. By such strict understanding of measure and precision, of course measures fail. They couldn't possibly live up to it. An other example is personality theory, which is said to have been nearly abandoned at it's inception because some psychologists thought of it entirely in terms of archetypes, rather than a general description of probable behavior.
And lastly, if calories have been adequately defended here, then I'll also add that ogling at them in order to find what is wrong with nutrition theory seems completely wrong. We already know about calories, and they are a measure of what we know. Rather than looking at them, we should be looking at the measure of our ignorance, which is the error term. If some calories consistently fail to account for some observations, then it's because no one has looked inside the black box enough to figure out what is going on.
In short, it's a sensational headline. The only people who perhaps should be worrying if calories are "wrong" in the sense of not being accurate to the tenth decimal are Soylent-ers.