The thing is that while Scala's main focus is not on being "a slightly nicer Java", it does that job fairly well.
There just doesn't seem to be a good point in using Kotlin, as you can tell from how fast the Kotlin proponent in this thread is changing the frame of reference.
- Higher-kinded types? Better compare with Haskell!
- Compilation speed? Let's pick Java, the language with the least useful typesystem!
- Popularity? Let's compare Scala with Java, but compare Kotlin to Scala!
- Commercial backing? Let's conveniently ignore that the language lives by the cross-subsidization of JetBrain's IDE business, instead of relying on the success of their language.
Point is, there is nothing that Kotlin does substantially better that would give it a niche between Java and Scala.
- Non-incremental compilation speed is not that much faster compared to Scala, and substantially slower than Java.
- Most of the things regularly used in Scala cannot be expressed in Kotlin, it only makes Java idioms slightly nicer to write down.
- Like in Scala, IDE support is ongoing work.
- Compared to both Java and Scala, the ecosystem isn't there.
Compared to Scala, Kotlin makes you pay 80% of the cost for 20% of the benefits.
I predict that future Java releases will keep cannibalizing Kotlin from the bottom, while Kotlin will fail to attract developers from more expressive languages.